Ireland PMI August 2019


Ireland: Services PMI falls to seven-month low in August amid Brexit uncertainty

September 4, 2019

Business conditions in the Irish service sector softened slightly in August, reflected by a fall in the AIB service Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) to 54.6 from 55.0 in July, marking the worst print since January 2018. Nonetheless, the index remained above the critical 50-point threshold that separates improvement from deterioration in business conditions, signaling a continued strong expansion in the services sector.

August’s print reflected a slower rise in output and new orders, with some firms reporting a fall in UK orders amid ongoing Brexit uncertainty. Weaker demand conditions led firms to ease their intake of workers, which caused the job creation rate to slide to the lowest since May 2013. On the price front, higher fuel and utility prices lifted overall input costs, although the rate of input cost inflation slowed to a 33-month low. Despite the cost burden easing slightly, firms raised their output prices more rapidly in August in a bid to boost their bottom line. Looking ahead, business sentiment in August was markedly down from July and the weakest since December 2011, as Brexit uncertainty weighed on the outlook for activity.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect fixed investment to grow 6.6% in 2019, which is unchanged from last month’s forecast. For 2020, the panel sees fixed investment growth decelerating to 5.6%.


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Ireland PMI Chart

Ireland Services PMI August 2019 0

Note: Investec Services PMI. Readings above 50 indicate an expansion in the services sector while readings below 50 indicate a contraction.
Source: AIB and IHS Markit.

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