Fiscal Balance in Ireland
GDP fell in Q1 quarter on quarter, principally due to a drop in industrial output. However, Ireland’s GDP prints are volatile due to its large multinational sector. Prior data had suggested that the indigenous sector had performed well. Private spending seemed to rise in the quarter: Compared to Q4, the services PMI and consumer confidence averaged higher, while retail sales rebounded. This improvement was probably linked with lower inflation and unemployment in the quarter. Turning to Q2, our panelists expect the economy to rebound 2.1%. Data for April paints a bright picture: Inflation and unemployment fell and consumer confidence and the services PMI rose. In other news, in the last few weeks, both Moody’s and S&P bumped up Ireland’s credit rating. Both Moody’s and S&P expect Ireland to post fiscal surpluses for the foreseeable future, bringing down the national debt.
Ireland Fiscal Balance Chart
Ireland Fiscal Balance Data
|Fiscal Balance (% of GDP)||-0.3||0.1||0.5||-5.0||-1.6|