Special Report:Draghi’s Resignation
In this special report on Italy's economy, we look at the implications of Mario Draghi's resignation including the potential impact on:
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Latest Reports
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July 27, 2022
Global economic activity to lose pace in 2022
Global growth will cool in 2022, bruised by soaring inflation, higher interest rates and waning fiscal stimulus measures. The outlook is volatile, with risks tilted to the downside. A potential escalation of the Russia-Ukraine war, faster-than-expected monetary policy tightening, stop-start Covid-19 restrictions in China, and food and energy crises are downside risks.
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July 14, 2022
GDP growth will slow in 2022
Regional growth will slow this year, as elevated inflation and interest rates more than offset the receding pandemic and recovering tourism. High prices for key export commodities in H1 supported fiscal accounts, although the fall in commodity prices in early July is a risk for H2. Currency outflows, slowing external demand and sociopolitical unrest are further risks.
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July 14, 2022
GDP growth will moderate in 2022
This year, GDP growth is expected to soften amid a tougher base effect. The repercussions from the Russia-Ukraine war will weigh on the economy: Rising global energy and food commodity prices are pushing up inflation. In response, central banks have tightened their policy stances. However, lower unemployment levels and robust remittances should support private consumption.
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July 20, 2022
Outlook for 2022 remains positive
The economy should expand at a faster pace this year than in 2021. The relaxation of Covid-19 measures coupled with accumulated savings and tighter labor markets should buttress household spending. Moreover, the tourist sector will benefit from easing border restrictions. Elevated inflation, supply disruptions and China’s renewed lockdowns cloud the outlook.
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July 20, 2022
GDP growth to lose steam in 2022
Regional growth will almost halve this year. In China (including Hong Kong), Covid-19 restrictions and the property market downturn will weigh on momentum, spilling over to affecting neighbors in the form of supply disruptions and weaker exports. Beyond China, Covid-19 flare-ups and rising interest rates and inflation could also dampen demand. A prolonged Chinese slowdown is a key risk.
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July 27, 2022
Russia-Ukraine War Economic Impact - Analysis & Special Reports
See our latest analysis in the Resources section
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August 3, 2022
Russia-Ukraine War Economic Impact - Analysis & Special Reports
See our latest analysis in the Resources section
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August 3, 2022
Economic growth in South-Eastern Europe set to cool in 2022
Regional economic growth is set to cool this year as the Ukraine war bites, on top of a tougher base of comparison. The war is fueling inflation, worsening supply chains and hurting sentiment. Moreover, international sanctions placed on Russia will weigh on tourism and trade. Lower unemployment rates and easing Covid-19 restrictions should offer some respite, however.
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August 3, 2022
Russia-Ukraine War Economic Impact - Analysis & Special Reports
See our latest analysis in the Resources section
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August 3, 2022
MENA GDP forecast to rise in 2022
Regional growth is set to improve this year. Oil exporting countries will drive momentum: OPEC+ quota increases will boost their crude output, while higher hydrocarbon prices will plump their public finances. Most oil importing countries are set to grow at weaker paces on higher imported inflation. Risks include food insecurity, extreme weather and Iran-related tensions.
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July 20, 2022
GDP growth will rebound in 2022
Regional growth should come in at a near decade high this year, barring 2021’s rebound. However, key risks remain, stemming from the fallout of the war in Ukraine. Twin deficits in some countries are widening, and some debt-to-GDP ratios in the region are being pushed up to the highest levels in decades, placing many countries in debt distress risk.
Latest Economic
News
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Argentina: Central Bank hikes interest rate again in July
August 5, 2022
On 28 July, the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) decided to hike the LELIQ rate to 60.00% from 52.00% in a bit to tame inflation.
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Guatemala: Economic activity records slowest expansion since February 2021 in June
August 5, 2022
Economic activity rose 3.3% year on year in June (May: +4.2% yoy).
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Germany: Industrial production rebounds in June
August 5, 2022
On a seasonally-adjusted monthly basis, industrial production rose 0.4% in June (May: -0.1% mom).
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