Emerging Markets Outlook 2021-2022
The report examines the outlook for emerging markets’ economies, vaccination campaigns, monetary policy and public debt sustainability, with specific insight and forecasts for 12 key developing economies.
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We provide our clients with reliable data, forecasts and analysis for over 131 countries and more than 34 key commodities to help them make sound business decisions. Our reports feature the Consensus Forecast (mean average), along with best- and worst-case scenarios. Find out how FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast reports can help you meet your business goals.
Latest Reports
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July 27, 2021
Global economic activity is set to rebound in 2021
The global economy will rebound this year on expansive fiscal and monetary stances and the vaccine rollout. However, fastspreading Covid-19 variants will lead to stop-start restrictions in some countries, weighing on activity. Potential vaccine-resistant strains of the virus, supply constraints and U.S.-China tensions pose downside risks.
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July 13, 2021
Regional economy to recovery in 2021
The regional economy should recover some of last year’s losses in 2021, thanks to the gradual removal of restrictions and recovering global demand. However, the pace of recovery will be limited by the still-troubling pandemic situation. Additionally, social and political tensions, slow vaccine rollouts, sizable fiscal deficits and ailing labor markets cloud the outlook.
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July 27, 2021
GDP forecast to expand in 2021
The regional economy is set to return to growth this year as the impact of the pandemic fades, with vaccination progress expected to aid the easing of restrictive measures and rekindle aggregate demand. On the other hand, weakened labor markets and income levels will limit growth in household spending.
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July 20, 2021
GDP growth forecast for 2021 downgraded again
The outlook for regional GDP growth in 2021 received its seventh successive downgrade this month, amid spiking infection rates in key economies, a relatively slow vaccine rollout and delays in the much-needed recovery in tourism. Nevertheless, the region is set to recover from 2020’s sharp downturn as improving domestic and foreign demand drive an upturn in activity.
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July 20, 2021
Economic outlook for 2021 brightens
ASEAN GDP growth is set to pick up markedly this year as external demand rebounds. Fiscal and monetary stimulus should further support the bounce-back, while less volatile U.S. foreign policy under President Biden bodes well for trade. Covid-19-related uncertainty clouds the outlook, however, amid the increase in new variants of the virus.
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July 27, 2021
Euro area economy seen rebounding this year
This year, the economy will rebound thanks to the gradual easing of restrictions domestically and abroad, the disbursement of EU recovery funds, and unleashed pent-up demand amid expansionary fiscal and monetary policies. However, weaker public finances, the spread of Covid-19 variants and banks’ badloans pose downside risks.
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July 7, 2021
GDP forecast to expand robustly in 2021
This year, regional GDP is set to expand robustly as the effects of the pandemic fade and restrictions are gradually relaxed. Domestic demand should be bolstered by inflows of EU funding and supportive fiscal policies, while stronger foreign demand is seen boosting exports. Downside risks persist, however, due to lingering pandemic-related uncertainty.
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July 6, 2021
Economic growth in South-Eastern Europe seen picking up this year
Regional economic activity is set to pick up this year as progress on the vaccination front facilitates the easing of restrictive measures. While growth expectations have been revised upwards in recent months, the outlook is still clouded by sluggish labor markets and pandemic-related uncertainty amid the emergence of new variants of Covid-19.
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July 6, 2021
CIS Plus GDP to rebound in 2021
The CIS Plus GDP is expected to rebound in 2021, on easing lockdown measures as Covid-19 vaccines are gradually rolled out. Healthier domestic demand in heavyweight Russia, stronger remittance inflows for smaller economies and firmer external demand should be the key drivers. That said, geopolitical tensions, new Covid-19 strains and slow vaccine rollout cloud the outlook.
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July 7, 2021
GDP forecast to expand solidly in 2021
Regional GDP will expand solidly in 2021. Oil exporters are set to gain from higher average crude prices and the ongoing easing of OPEC+ cuts, while countries across the region should benefit from the vaccine rollout, easing restrictions and stronger demand abroad. However, geopolitical tensions, fragile fiscal positions and pandemic-related uncertainty pose downside risks.
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July 20, 2021
Regional economy to expand in 2021
Sub-Saharan Africa’s GDP is seen increasing in 2021, supported by the gradual removal of restrictions. Pent-up foreign demand and recovering commodity prices are set to boost exports. That said, downside risks remain, including strained public finances and social unrest in several countries. The spread of the Delta strain and a slow vaccine drive cloud the outlook further.
Latest Economic
News
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Taiwan: Manufacturing PMI picks up in July
August 2, 2021
The IHS Markit Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) came in at 59.7 in July, up from June's 57.6.
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China: Manufacturing PMI drops to over one-year low in July
July 31, 2021
The National Bureau of Statistics' Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) came in at 50.4 in July, down from June's 50.9 and potentially linked to the rise of the Delta variant at home and in other parts of Asia.
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Spain: Economy swings back to growth in Q2 amid easing restrictions
July 30, 2021
The economy swung back to expansion in the second quarter, as the lifting of restrictions amid an acceleration in the vaccine rollout supported domestic activity.
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