Special Report: Global Inflation Outlook
In our latest special report, we look at global inflation forecasts for this year and next and the key risks influencing the outlook.
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We provide our clients with reliable data, forecasts and analysis for over 200 countries and more than 34 key commodities to help them make sound business decisions. Our reports feature the Consensus Forecast (mean average), along with best- and worst-case scenarios. Find out how FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast reports can help you meet your business goals.
Latest Reports
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August 31, 2022
Global economic activity to lose pace in 2022
Global growth will slow this year and next, hampered by elevated inflation, higher interest rates and waning fiscal stimulus. Risks include faster-than-expected monetary tightening, a broadening of the Russia-Ukraine war, energy shortages in Europe, U.S.-China tensions and a steep downturn in China, which is suffering from Covid-19 restrictions and a housing downturn.
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September 14, 2022
GDP growth will slow in 2022
Regional growth will soften this year and next on high inflation, tighter monetary policy and weaker momentum abroad. However, recovering tourist inflows, the fading pandemic and high commodity prices by historical standards will provide support. Faster-than-expected monetary tightening, a slowdown in key export market China and sociopolitical unrest are risks.
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September 14, 2022
GDP growth will grow in 2022
Regional GDP is expected to grow at a softer pace in 2022 amid a tougher base effect, tighter financial conditions and the global echoes of the war in Ukraine. Elevated price pressures, fueled by higher commodity prices, will likely cap consumer spending. That said, lower unemployment rates and solid remittances should provide some respite.
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September 21, 2022
Outlook for 2022 remains positive
The economy should expand at a faster pace this year than in 2021. The relaxation of Covid-19 measures coupled with accumulated savings and tighter labor markets should buttress household spending. Moreover, the tourist sector will benefit from easing border restrictions. Elevated inflation, supply disruptions and China’s renewed lockdowns cloud the outlook.
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September 21, 2022
GDP growth to lose steam in 2022
Regional growth will almost halve this year. In China (including Hong Kong), Covid-19 restrictions and the property market downturn will weigh on momentum, spilling over to affecting neighbors in the form of supply disruptions and weaker exports. Beyond China, Covid-19 flare-ups and rising interest rates and inflation could also dampen demand. A prolonged Chinese slowdown is a key risk.
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September 28, 2022
Russia-Ukraine War Economic Impact - Analysis & Special Reports
See our latest analysis in the Resources section
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August 3, 2022
Russia-Ukraine War Economic Impact - Analysis & Special Reports
See our latest analysis in the Resources section
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August 3, 2022
Economic growth in South-Eastern Europe set to cool in 2022
Regional economic growth is set to cool this year as the Ukraine war bites, on top of a tougher base of comparison. The war is fueling inflation, worsening supply chains and hurting sentiment. Moreover, international sanctions placed on Russia will weigh on tourism and trade. Lower unemployment rates and easing Covid-19 restrictions should offer some respite, however.
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August 3, 2022
Russia-Ukraine War Economic Impact - Analysis & Special Reports
See our latest analysis in the Resources section
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August 3, 2022
MENA GDP forecast to rise in 2022
Regional growth is set to improve this year. Oil exporting countries will drive momentum: OPEC+ quota increases will boost their crude output, while higher hydrocarbon prices will plump their public finances. Most oil importing countries are set to grow at weaker paces on higher imported inflation. Risks include food insecurity, extreme weather and Iran-related tensions.
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September 21, 2022
GDP growth will moderate in 2022
While regional economic growth will moderate this year, it will remain at a near-decade high. Widening twin deficits and multi-decade high debt-to-GDP ratios in the region due to the fallout from the war in Ukraine are increasingly placing countries in debt distress risk. Additionally, the worst drought in nearly 40 years in the Horn of Africa is a key downside risk .
Latest Economic
News
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Hungary: Economic sentiment broadly stable in September
September 28, 2022
The GKI economic sentiment index, a composite indicator, fell to minus 14.5 in September from minus 14.3 in August.
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Thailand: Central Bank hikes rates further in September; hints at further tightening ahead
September 28, 2022
At its 28 September meeting, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Bank of Thailand (BoT) hiked the policy rate to 1.00% from 0.75%.
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Czech Republic: Economic sentiment weakens further in September
September 28, 2022
The economic sentiment indicator, published by the Czech Statistical Office (CSO), fell to 90.1 in September from 94.1 in August. The business confidence index decreased to 93.6 from August’s 97.6.
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