Special Report: Focus 2022
Our latest special report on the global outlook is now available for download!
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We provide our clients with reliable data, forecasts and analysis for over 131 countries and more than 34 key commodities to help them make sound business decisions. Our reports feature the Consensus Forecast (mean average), along with best- and worst-case scenarios. Find out how FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast reports can help you meet your business goals.
Latest Reports
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December 23, 2021
Global economic activity to slow this year
The world economy will lose steam in 2022, as the initial postpandemic rebound wanes in developed countries, and fiscal and monetary stances become more restrictive. However, many developing markets should record faster growth. Key risks include potential further stop-start Covid-19 restrictions amid new variants, and a possible hard landing in the Chinese economy.
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January 18, 2022
Regional economy to cool in 2022
The pace of GDP expansion is set to cool notably this year, amid a less favorable base effect and slower expansions in domestic and foreign demand, and as fiscal and monetary policies turn less accommodative. The threat of further Covid-19 variants, high inflation and political and policy uncertainty associated with elections in some countries are key factors to watch.
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January 18, 2022
GDP growth to ease in 2022
Regional economic growth is forecast to ease this year compared to 2021’s rebound. Nonetheless, tightening labor markets, coupled with robust remittance inflows and normalizing economic conditions, are set to buoy activity. The outlook is clouded by lingering Covid-19-related uncertainty amid low vaccination rates in the region.
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December 16, 2021
GDP growth forecast for 2022 appear brighter
The outlook for 2022 seems positive, following 2021’s heavilydowngraded projected expansion. GDP growth in the majority of countries in the region should accelerate in 2022, as higher household spending boosts domestic activity and continued foreign demand bolsters exports. Moreover, advancing vaccination campaigns bode well for activity.
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December 16, 2021
GDP growth to ease in 2022
Regional GDP growth should ease this year due to a fading base effect, as export growth moderates notably. Nevertheless, household spending is set to benefit from the easing of Covid-19 restrictions, while ongoing fiscal and monetary stimulus should also boost domestic demand. Covid-19-related uncertainty and turmoil in China’s property sector cloud the outlook, however.
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December 23, 2021
Euro area economic activity will moderate this year
GDP growth should moderate in 2022, although it will remain robust. Spending of accumulated savings and EU recovery funds amid loose fiscal and monetary policies will provide temporary stimulus. That said, protracted supply constraints, renewed restrictions, elevated energy prices, troubled fiscal metrics and banks’ NPLs pose downside risks.
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January 11, 2022
GDP forecast to expand at softer rate than 2021
This year, the regional economy is poised to grow at a solid rate, albeit softer than in 2021, as the gradual easing of restrictions, coupled with tighter labor markets, bolsters household spending. Moreover, the inflow of EU funds is expected to spur investment growth. However, elevated daily Covid-19 cases continue to cloud the outlook.
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January 11, 2022
Economic growth in South-Eastern Europe set to cool this year
Regional growth is set to cool this year amid a tougher base of comparison. Even so, healthier demand and output expectations due to normalizing economic conditions should see underlying economic momentum firm. However, weakened fiscal metrics and debt burdens in some countries pose downside risks, while lingering Covid-19 uncertainty further weighs on prospects.
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January 11, 2022
CIS Plus GDP to slow in 2022
Growth in the region is expected to moderate this year, on cooling household spending and investment activity growth. That said, sturdy global energy demand and easing supply disruptions should bolster exports, in turn boding well for overall activity in 2022. New Covid-19 strains and spiraling geopolitical risks across the entire region are key risks to the outlook.
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January 11, 2022
MENA GDP forecast to accelerate in 2022
Regional GDP growth is seen accelerating this year, as the vaccine rollout, looser restrictions and pent-up demand support investment and household spending. Moreover, oil production is projected to increase robustly in 2022 as OPEC+ further reduces production cuts. Nevertheless, tense political relations in the region and volatile oil prices are risks to the outlook.
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December 16, 2021
Regional economy to ease in 2022
Economic growth in the region is expected to ease next year due to a less favorable base effect. Domestic demand should nonetheless strengthen amid softer restrictions; however, the balance of risks is tilted to the downside. The emergence of new Covid-19 strains, low vaccination rates and currency weakness amid debt repayments cloud the outlook.
Latest Economic
News
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Germany: Economy recovers at moderate pace in 2021
January 24, 2022
A preliminary estimate revealed that the German economy expanded 2.7% year-on-year on a price-adjusted basis in 2021, marking a moderate recovery from the pandemic-induced 4.6% contraction recorded in the prior year.
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Indonesia: Central Bank holds rates in January but starts gradual normalization
January 21, 2022
At its monetary policy meeting on 19–20 January, in a move widely expected by market analysts, Bank Indonesia (BI) decided to leave the seven-day reverse repo rate at the all-time low of 3.50%, where it has been since February 2021.
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United Kingdom: Consumer confidence deteriorates in January
January 21, 2022
Consumer confidence came in at minus 19.0 in January, down from December's minus 15.0.
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