Cocoa prices averaged USD 4,150 per metric ton in May, up 23.1% from April. On 29 May, the commodity traded at USD 4,157 per metric ton, up 14.2% from 30 April.
In May, cocoa prices saw their sharpest increase in 17 months. The El Niño weather event is likely to emerge by July, with a 67% chance of a “super El Niño”, according to U.S. estimates. This bodes ill for production from West Africa, exacerbating fertilizer supply concerns stemming from the closure of the Hormuz Strait.
This chart displays Cocoa (US$/mt) from 2024 to 2026.
Cocoa ICCO (prices in US$/mt, aop)
| Q1 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | Q3 2026 | Q4 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cocoa ICCO | - | 8,657 | 6,803 | 8,285 | 9,558 | 8,521 | 7,324 | 5,800 | 3,960 | - | - | - |