Latvia skyline

Latvia Economy

Latvia's economy in numbers:

Nominal GDP of USD 40.9 billion in 2022.

Nominal GDP of USD 42.2 billion in 2023.

GDP per capita of USD 22,435 compared to the global average of USD 10,589.

GDP per capita of USD 21,779 compared to the global average of USD 10,589.

Average real GDP growth of 2.9% over the last decade.

Average real GDP growth of 2.4% over the last decade.

Share of the region's population
Share of the region's GDP

Economic structure:

In 2021, services accounted for 76% of overall GDP, manufacturing 12%, other industrial activity 8%, and agriculture 4%. Looking at GDP by expenditure, private consumption accounted for 55% of GDP in 2021, government consumption 20%, fixed investment 27%, and net exports -2%.

GDP by economic sector
GDP by type of expenditure

International trade:

In 2021, manufactured products made up 59% of total merchandise exports, mineral fuels 6%, food 18%, ores and metals 3% and agricultural raw materials 13%, with other categories accounting for 1% of the total. In the same period, manufactured products made up 67% of total merchandise imports, mineral fuels 9%, food 15%, ores and metals 2% and agricultural raw materials 4%, with other goods accounting for 3% of the total. Total exports were worth USD 22 billion in 2022, while total imports were USD 26 billion.

Key exports
Key imports
Key export partners
Key import partners

Economic growth:

The economy recorded average annual growth of 2.9% in the decade to 2022. To read more about GDP growth in Latvia, go to our dedicated page.

Fiscal policy:

Latvia's fiscal deficit averaged 2.1% of GDP in the decade to 2022. Find out more on our dedicated page.

Unemployment:

The unemployment rate averaged 9.3% in the decade to 2022. For more information on Latvia's unemployment click here.

Inflation:

Inflation averaged 2.9% in the decade to 2022. Go to our Latvia inflation page for extra insight.

Monetary Policy:

Euro Area monetary policy rate ended 2022 at 2.50%, up from 0.75% a decade earlier. See our Latvia monetary policy page for additional details.

Exchange Rate:

From end-2012 to end-2022 the euro weakened by 18.2% vs the U.S. dollar. For more info on the euro, click here.
According to a second release, GDP growth rose to 0.5% year on year in Q2 from Q1’s 0.1%. The improvement, which beat the preliminary estimate of a flat reading, stemmed from a stronger expansion in public spending plus a softer decline in fixed investment. Less positively, household spending grew at a weaker rate on slower real wage growth, and the decline in exports of goods and services deepened from Q1. Turning to Q3, our panelists anticipate GDP growth reaching a nine-quarter high. In July, industrial activity rebounded from Q2’s decline, and retail sales growth ticked up from the April–June average. In the same month, goods exports bounced back from Q2, expanding at the quickest pace in 18 months. In other news, the government recently allocated an additional EUR 61 million to the Rail Baltica project to integrate the region into the European rail network, supporting activity.
Projections out to 2034.

50 indicators covered including both annual and quarterly frequencies.

Consensus Forecasts based on a panel of 16 expert analysts.

Want to get insight on the economic outlook for Latvia in the coming years? FocusEconomics collects projections out to 2034 on 50 economic indicators for Latvia from a panel of 16 analysts at the leading national, regional and global forecast institutions. These projections are then validated by our in-house team of economists and data analysts, and averaged to provide one Consensus Forecast you can rely on for each indicator. This means you avoid the risk of relying on out of date, biased or outlier forecasts. Our Consensus Forecasts can be visualized in whichever way best suits your needs, including via interactive online dashboards , direct data delivery and executive-style reports which combine analysts' projections with timely written analysis from our in-house team of economists on the latest developments in the Latvia economy. To download a sample report on the Latvia's economy, click here. To get in touch with our team for more information, fill in the form at the bottom of this page.

Latvia Economic Data

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Population (million) 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9
GDP (USD bn) 33.1 33.3 38.2 37.9 42.2
GDP per capita (USD) 17,237 17,461 20,161 20,229 22,435
GDP (EUR bn) 29.6 29.2 32.3 36.1 39.1
GDP per capita (EUR) 15,399 15,317 17,055 19,245 20,750
Economic Growth (Nominal GDP, ann. var. %) 5.0 -1.2 10.5 11.8 8.2
Economic Growth (GDP, ann. var. %) 0.7 -3.5 6.9 1.8 1.7
Domestic Demand (ann. var. %) 2.3 -4.0 10.7 1.0 3.5
Private Consumption (ann. var. %) -0.1 -4.8 8.1 5.1 -1.0
Government Consumption (ann. var. %) 5.6 3.9 3.7 2.4 7.0
Fixed Investment (ann. var. %) 1.3 -2.4 6.8 -1.6 9.9
Exports (G&S, ann. var. %) -0.6 -0.3 9.1 11.4 -4.7
Imports (G&S, ann. var. %) 2.0 -1.1 15.1 9.9 -2.0
Industrial Production (ann. var. %) 0.8 -1.8 6.6 0.8 -5.2
Retail Sales (ann. var. %) 2.3 1.5 -3.5 3.1 -2.0
Wages (ann. var. %) 7.2 6.2 11.8 7.5 11.9
Unemployment (% of active population, aop) 6.3 8.1 7.5 6.8 6.5
Fiscal Balance (% of GDP) -0.5 -4.4 -7.2 -4.6 -2.2
Public Debt (% of GDP) 36.7 42.7 44.4 41.8 43.6
Money (ann. var. of M2 %) 8.0 13.1 7.9 6.4 2.3
Inflation (CPI, ann. var. %, eop) 2.3 -0.5 7.8 20.9 0.6
Inflation (HICP, ann. var. %, eop) 2.1 -0.5 7.9 20.7 0.9
Inflation (HICP, ann. var. %, aop) 2.7 0.1 3.2 17.2 9.1
Inflation (PPI, ann. var. %, aop) 1.9 -1.9 13.1 30.7 1.1
ECB Refinancing Rate (%, eop) 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.50 4.50
ECB Overnight Deposit Rate (%, eop) -0.50 -0.50 -0.50 2.00 4.00
3-Month EURIBOR (%, eop) -0.38 -0.55 -0.57 2.13 3.91
10-Year Bond Yield (%, eop) 0.16 -0.29 0.30 3.50 3.49
Stock Market (var. of OMXR %) 10.7 10.4 12.1 -9.5 15.9
Exchange Rate (USD per EUR, eop) 1.12 1.22 1.14 1.07 1.10
Exchange Rate (USD per EUR, aop) 1.12 1.14 1.18 1.05 1.08
Current Account Balance (EUR bn) -0.1 0.9 -1.3 -2.0 -1.5
Current Account Balance (% of GDP) -0.2 3.0 -4.1 -5.5 -3.9
Merchandise Trade Balance (EUR bn) -2.6 -1.6 -2.8 -4.1 -3.6
Merchandise Exports (EUR bn) 12.8 13.5 16.2 20.7 18.7
Merchandise Imports (EUR bn) 15.4 15.0 19.0 24.8 22.3
Merchandise Exports (ann. var. %) 1.6 5.4 20.6 27.7 -9.9
Merchandise Imports (ann. var. %) 1.9 -2.5 26.5 30.8 -10.2
Foreign Direct Investment (EUR bn) 0.8 0.8 2.9 1.3 1.1

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