United Kingdom Consumer Confidence September 2018

United Kingdom

United Kingdom: Consumer sentiment worsens in September

September 28, 2018

The GfK NOP consumer confidence indicator fell from minus 7 points in August to minus 9 points in September. As a result, the index moved further into negative territory, where it has been since April 2016, highlighting that consumers are broadly pessimistic.

September’s decrease reflected consumers’ worsened views of the general economic situation over the last 12 months and for the year ahead; and their personal financial situation over the last 12 months and for the year ahead. Consumers’ willingness to make major purchases was unchanged, however. Despite the deterioration, consumers were still broadly optimistic regarding their personal finances, contrasting starkly with their highly negative views on the general economy—likely influenced in part by Brexit uncertainty.

Going forward, recent signs of faster wage growth, if maintained, could support confidence. However, ongoing Brexit uncertainty and tighter financial conditions will likely weigh on sentiment.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect private consumption to expand 1.2% in 2018 and 1.3% in 2019.


Author:, Economist

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UnitedKingdom Consumer Confidence September 2018

Note: GfK Consumer Confidence Index.
Source: The GfK Group.


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