Fiscal Balance in Ukraine
Ukraine - Fiscal BalanceThe economy expanded at a softer rate in the third quarter amid a broad-based slowdown: Growth in private consumption, fixed investment and exports moderated, while government spending swung into contraction. Turning to Q4, available data paints an uncertain picture for the economy: Retail sales increased at a softer pace in October–November compared to Q3, while consumer confidence slid sequentially in the same period, hinting at weaker household spending. Similarly, industrial production growth lost steam in annual terms in October–November compared to Q3. Meanwhile, tensions with Russia have continued to escalate after around 100,000 Russian troops amassed near the border in early December, with the potential threat of conflict continuing to loom. Diplomatic talks between Ukraine, Russia and the U.S. are scheduled for 9–10 January in Geneva.
Ukraine - Fiscal Balance Data
|Fiscal Balance (% of GDP)||-1.6||-2.3||-1.4||-2.1||-2.2|
5 years of economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
|Bond Yield||19.00||0.0 %||Jul 27|
|Exchange Rate||23.70||0.30 %||Jan 01|
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December 22, 2021
Industrial production grew 1.3% year-on-year in November (October: +1.4 yoy).
December 21, 2021
A second national accounts release confirmed that economic growth softened in the third quarter, with GDP expanding 2.7% year-on-year (Q2: +5.7% yoy).
December 9, 2021
Consumer prices fell 0.54% over the previous month in November, following the 0.09% fall seen in October.
December 9, 2021
At its last meeting of 2021 on 8 December, the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) raised its key policy rate by 50 basis points to 9.00%, despite hinting that it would hold rates until at least Q3 2022 at its previous meeting.
November 22, 2021
Industrial output grew 1.4% year-on-year in October, matching September’s result.