Turkey - Inflation

Inflation eases in June

In June, consumer prices increased 0.31% over the previous month, which was below the 0.40% rise recorded in May and marked the lowest print in seven months. According to the statistical office, the increase primarily resulted from higher prices for education, health as well as for hotels, cafes and restaurants.

Annual inflation moderated from May’s 9.7%, which represented the highest level since April 2012, to 9.2% in June. June’s result overshot the 8.8% that market analysts had expected.

The core inflation index, which excludes more volatile categories such as unprocessed food and energy, rose 0.38% over the previous month in June (May: +1.26% month-on-month). Annual core inflation stabilized at the previous month’s 9.6% in May, which marked the highest reading in over two years.

The Central Bank of Turkey (CBRT) sees inflation ending 2014 at 7.6% before slowing to 5.0% by the end of 2015. The Bank’s official inflation target is 5.0%. FocusEconomics panelists expect inflation to close 2014 at 8.3%, which is up 0.3 percentage points from last month’s forecast. For 2015, the panel sees inflation moderating to 6.7% by year-end.

Turkey - Inflation Data

2009   2010   2011   2012   2013  
Inflation Rate (CPI, annual variation in %)6.3  8.6  6.5  8.9  7.5  

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Turkey Inflation Chart

Turkey Inflation
Note: Annual variation of consumer price index (CPI) in %.
Source: Statistical Institute and FocusEconomics calculations.

Turkey Facts

Value % Change Date
Bond Yield8.61.29 %Jul 25
Exchange Rate2.090.10 %Jul 25
Stock Market84,2180.47 %Jul 25

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