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Hong Kong GDP Q4 2022

Hong Kong: GDP drops at a slower pace in Q4

GDP fell at a softer pace of 4.2% year on year in the fourth quarter, after a 4.6% contraction in the third quarter. Overall, the economy contracted by 3.5% in 2022 after the 6.4% expansion logged in 2021.

The smaller contraction reflected a broad-based improvement in domestic demand. Private consumption increased 1.7% in the final quarter, which contrasted the third quarter’s 0.4% contraction. Household consumption grew due to a lower unemployment rate, looser Covid-19 curbs and government stimulus. Government consumption accelerated to a 9.1% increase in Q4 (Q3: +5.3% yoy). Meanwhile, fixed investment contracted at a softer rate of 11.2% in Q4, from the 14.4% decrease recorded in the previous quarter.

On the external front, exports of services increased 2.3% on an annual basis in the final quarter, which was above the third quarter’s 4.2% contraction. In addition, imports of services bounced back, growing 2.1% in Q4 (Q3: -3.2% yoy).

Meanwhile, on a seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter basis, GDP posted a flat reading in Q4, improving from the previous quarter’s 2.6% fall.

In Q1 2023, the economy should rebound due to the removal of quarantine requirements for visitors, a brighter economic outlook for China and the relaxation of restrictions for cross-boundary truck movements. That said, softer growth in advanced economies will keep exports depressed.

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