GDP in Croatia
Croatia - GDP
GDP growth speeds up further in Q4
The Croatian economy accelerated and recorded another period of robust growth in the final quarter of 2016, supported by strong private consumption and by a pick-up in fixed investment. GDP growth strengthened from the 2.9% recorded in the third quarter to 3.4% in Q4, the biggest expansion in nine years as well as the ninth consecutive quarter of growth. The final quarter’s healthy result brought full-year 2016 GDP growth to 2.9%, up from 1.6% in 2015 and the highest reading since pre-crisis 2007.
Growth in Croatia continues to be underpinned by robust domestic demand, whose contribution to growth was plus 3.7 percentage points and which is offsetting the external sector’s negative contribution to growth. The ongoing expansion in private consumption—which grew at an almost nine-year high of 3.6% in Q4, up from Q3’s 3.4% increase—has been underpinned by several factors, such as growing tourist arrivals, rising wages, recovering consumer credit and expectations of lower income taxes. More upbeat business sentiment, expanding business lending and upcoming corporate tax cuts led fixed investment to grow 4.6%, which was a stronger expansion than Q3’s 2.9%. Conversely, growth in government consumption moderated from 2.1% in Q3 to 1.8% in Q4.
Meanwhile, the external sector subtracted 0.3 percentage points from growth. Imports of goods and services accelerated from a 6.0% increase in Q3 to a 9.7% rise in Q4, reflecting the strong domestic demand. Robust demand from the country’s main trading partners in the EU caused exports to expand 9.7% in the fourth quarter, up from the 6.3% increase observed in Q3, boosting manufacturing production.
The robust growth in the final quarter reflects that the recovery is finally gathering momentum, which bodes well for Croatia’s outlook. In this respect, Hrvoje Stojic, Economic Research Director at Addiko Bank, said:
“We keep our view of an above-potential 3.5% growth in 2017 due to a plethora of reasons, including (i) stronger consumption growth, (ii) better investment outlook, (iii) another record tourist season, (iv) export competitiveness gains and (v) newly found space for fiscal easing (after two years of substantial tightening)”.
FocusEconomics panelists expect GDP to rise 2.6% in 2017, which is up 0.1 percentage points from last month’s estimate. In 2018, the panel expects economic growth of 2.5%.
Croatia - GDP Data
|Economic Growth (GDP, annual variation in %)||-0.3||-2.2||-1.1||-0.5||1.6|
5 years of economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
Croatia GDP Chart
Source: Central Bureau of Statistics and FocusEconomics calculations.
|Bond Yield||3.03||-0.03 %||May 10|
|Exchange Rate||6.83||0.13 %||May 10|
|Stock Market||1,897||-0.01 %||May 10|
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April 28, 2017
In March, industrial output in Croatia remained unchanged from the same month last year in seasonally and working-day adjusted terms, which came in below February’s 2.3% increase and represented the weakest reading in over two years.
April 18, 2017
In March, consumer prices in Croatia rose 0.3% from the previous month, following February’s 0.2% increase.
March 31, 2017
In February, industrial output in Croatia grew 2.3% from the same month last year in seasonally and working-day adjusted terms, which came in below January’s robust 4.0% increase.
March 16, 2017
In February, consumer prices in Croatia increased 0.2% from the previous month, contrasting January’s 0.1% decline.
March 10, 2017
In January, industrial output grew 4.0% from the same month last year in seasonally and working-day adjusted terms, which came in below December’s impressive 14.9% increase.