Special Report: Global Inflation Outlook
In our latest special report, we look at global inflation forecasts for this year and next and the key risks influencing the outlook.
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We provide our clients with reliable data, forecasts and analysis for over 200 countries and more than 34 key commodities to help them make sound business decisions. Our reports feature the Consensus Forecast (mean average), along with best- and worst-case scenarios. Find out how FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast reports can help you meet your business goals.
Latest Reports
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September 28, 2022
Economic Growth
Global growth will slow this year and next, hampered by elevated inflation, higher interest rates and waning fiscal stimulus. Risks include faster-than-expected monetary tightening, a broadening of the Russia-Ukraine war, energy shortages in Europe, U.S.-China tensions and a steep downturn in China, which is suffering from Covid-19 restrictions and a housing downturn.
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September 14, 2022
Economic Growth
Regional growth will soften this year and next on high inflation, tighter monetary policy and weaker momentum abroad. However, recovering tourist inflows, the fading pandemic and high commodity prices by historical standards will provide support. Faster-than-expected monetary tightening, a slowdown in key export market China and sociopolitical unrest are risks.
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September 14, 2022
Economic Growth
Regional GDP is expected to grow at a softer pace in 2022 amid a tougher base effect, tighter financial conditions and the global echoes of the war in Ukraine. Elevated price pressures, fueled by higher commodity prices, will likely cap consumer spending. That said, lower unemployment rates and solid remittances should provide some respite.
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September 21, 2022
Economic Growth
The economy should expand at a faster pace this year than in 2021. The relaxation of Covid-19 measures coupled with accumulated savings and tighter labor markets should buttress household spending. Moreover, the tourist sector will benefit from easing border restrictions. Elevated inflation, supply disruptions and China’s renewed lockdowns cloud the outlook.
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September 21, 2022
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East Asia
Economic Outlook
Regional growth will slump this year, on Covid-19 restrictions in China, China’s property downturn and tighter monetary policy in most countries. Growth should accelerate in 2023 as China recovers, notwithstanding weaker demand from developed markets. Further Covid-19 flare-ups, faster-than-expected monetary tightening, and China-Taiwan tensions are key risks.
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September 28, 2022
Russia-Ukraine War Economic Impact - Analysis & Special Reports
See our latest analysis in the Resources section
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September 27, 2022
Russia-Ukraine War Economic Impact - Analysis & Special Reports
See our latest analysis in the Resources section
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September 7, 2022
Economic Growth
Regional economic growth is expected to slow this year as the Ukraine crisis takes its toll. The war is increasing inflation, disrupting supply networks and harming sentiment. Moreover, international sanctions imposed on Russia will have a negative impact on tourism and trade. However, lower unemployment and the relaxation of Covid-19 restrictions should provide some relief.
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September 14, 2022
Russia-Ukraine War Economic Impact - Analysis & Special Reports
See our latest analysis in the Resources section
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September 20, 2022
Economic Growth
Regional growth is set to pick up pace this year. In oil exporting countries, higher OPEC+ quotas on average will boost crude output and higher hydrocarbon prices will bolster public finances. Most oil importing countries are set to grow at softer paces on higher inflation. Risks include food insecurity, extreme weather and sociopolitical instability in several countries.
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September 21, 2022
Economic Growth
While regional economic growth will moderate this year, it will remain at a near-decade high. Widening twin deficits and multi-decade high debt-to-GDP ratios in the region due to the fallout from the war in Ukraine are increasingly placing countries in debt distress risk. Additionally, the worst drought in nearly 40 years in the Horn of Africa is a key downside risk .
Latest Economic
News
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Euro Area: Unemployment stable in August
September 30, 2022
The unemployment rate remained stable at July’s record-low of 6.6% in August.
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Poland: Inflation comes in at highest level since February 1997 in September
September 30, 2022
Inflation came in at 17.2% in September, up from August’s 16.1%.
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Spain: Current account improves in July
September 30, 2022
The current account recorded a EUR 1.3 billion surplus in July, improving from the EUR 0.5 billion surplus clocked in June (July 2021: EUR 2.5 billion surplus).
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