Inflation in Brazil
Brazil - Inflation
Inflation drops to lowest rate since May 2018 in July
Consumer prices rose 0.19% in July over the previous month, which was above June’s 0.01% increase but below market expectations. The result also marked the smallest increase for July since July 2014. The rise was chiefly driven by higher prices for housing, mainly due to higher electricity bills amid the yellow flag. Outside of housing, price pressures were largely benign.
Inflation fell to 3.2% in July from June’s 3.4%, the lowest reading since May 2018. Accordingly, inflation came in below the Central Bank’s target of 4.25% for the end of 2019.
Annual average inflation, however, was broadly unchanged at 4.1% in July (June: 4.2%).
Panelists participating in the LatinFocus Consensus Forecast see inflation closing 2019 at 3.9%, which is unchanged from last month’s forecast. For 2020, the panel expects inflation of 4.0%.
Brazil - Inflation Data
| 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation Rate (CPI, annual variation in %) | 6.2 | 6.3 | 9.0 | 8.7 | 3.4 |
Brazil Inflation Chart
Source: Brazil Institute of Geography and Statistics.
Brazil Facts
| Value | Change | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bond Yield | 7.25 | -0.82 % | Jul 31 |
| Exchange Rate | 3.81 | -0.13 % | Jul 31 |
| Stock Market | 101,812 | -0.40 % | Jul 31 |
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Economic News
Brazil: Economic activity decelerates in June
August 15, 2019
In June, economic activity increased 0.3% in seasonally-adjusted month-on-month terms, according to the Central Bank’s monthly indicator for economic activity.
Brazil: Retail sales record slight growth in June
August 9, 2019
Retail sales (excluding cars and construction) rose 0.1% from the previous month in seasonally-adjusted terms in June, which followed May’s revised zero growth (previously reported: -0.1% month-on-month).
Brazil: Inflation drops to lowest rate since May 2018 in July
August 8, 2019
Consumer prices rose 0.19% in July over the previous month, which was above June’s 0.01% increase but below market expectations.
Brazil: Manufacturing PMI falls to one-year low in July
August 1, 2019
Conditions in Brazil’s manufacturing sector appear to have deteriorated at the start of Q3.
Brazil: Industrial production drops again in June
August 1, 2019
Industrial production fell 0.6% month-on-month in seasonally-adjusted terms in June, which followed May’s revised 0.1% fall (previously reported: -0.2% month-on-month).
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