Investment in Greece

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Greece - Investment

Decline in GDP moderates in Q3

GDP contracted 11.7% in annual terms in the third quarter, moderating from Q2’s 14.2% slump, as the lifting of the nationwide lockdown allowed for the gradual resumption of activity.

Q3’s softer downturn was driven by recovering domestic demand, with household spending expanding 1.0% year-on-year in Q3, swinging from Q2’s 12.0% dive. Moreover, public spending bounced back, growing 4.4% in Q3 (Q2: -2.7% yoy) as the government deployed further fiscal stimulus to address the socioeconomic impact of the pandemic. Meanwhile, fixed investment slid 0.3%, contrasting Q2’s 4.6% expansion.

On the external front, exports of goods and services contracted at a more pronounced pace of 44.9% year-on-year in the third quarter (Q2: -33.1% yoy), as still-depressed tourist arrivals weighed on the crucial tourism industry, which accounts for almost a fifth of the country’s GDP. Conversely, imports of goods and services decreased at a softer rate of 6.4% in Q3 (Q2: -12.9% yoy).

On a seasonally-adjusted quarter-on-quarter basis, GDP rebounded 2.3% in Q3, contrasting the previous quarter’s 14.1% fall.

GDP is expected to rebound strongly next year on the back of firming household consumption and supported by new inflows of EU funding. Moreover, the gradual lifting of Covid-19 restrictions at home and abroad should revitalize the tourism industry and bolster the external sector. However, the country’s enormous public debt level and elevated unemployment rate, as well as the banking sector’s high holdings of non-performing loans, remain key downside risks.

FocusEconomics analysts see GDP expanding 4.5% in 2021, which is down 0.6 percentage points from last month’s forecast. In 2022, the panel sees GDP growth at 4.3%.

Greece - Investment Data

2015   2016   2017   2018   2019  
Investment (annual variation in %)0.6  4.6  9.4  -12.0  4.5  

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Greece Facts

Value Change Date
Bond Yield1.910.76 %Jan 01
Exchange Rate1.120.65 %Dec 31

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