China Retail September 2016


China: Retail sales hit nine-month high in September

October 19, 2016

In August, nominal retail sales grew 10.7% year-on-year, a nine-month high which was above the 10.6% increase recorded in August and matched market analysts’ expectations. September’s print was mainly the result of stronger sales for oil and oil-related products, household applications, and clothes and textiles.

Compared to the previous month, retail sales expanded a seasonally-adjusted 0.85% in September (August: +0.87% month-on-month). As a result of September’s annual improvement, annual average growth in retail sales stabilized at August’s 10.5%.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast participants expect retail sales to increase 10.4% in 2016, which is unchanged from last month’s estimate. In 2017, the panel foresees retail sales expanding 10.3%,which is also unchanged from last month’s forecast.


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China Retail Chart

China Retail September 2016

Note: Month-on-month changes of seasonally adjusted nominal retail sales index and year-on-year variation in %. Owing to seasonal factors related to the Lunar New Year, annual figures for January and February are reported together.
Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS) and FocusEconomics calculations.

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