Brazil PMI January 2019


Brazil: Manufacturing PMI edges up in January

February 4, 2019

Conditions in Brazil’s manufacturing sector improved at the start of 2019. The manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) was rose from December’s 52.6 to 52.7, the joint-highest reading seen since March. The PMI lies above the crucial 50-threshold and in expansionary territory.

January’s healthy reading was driven by strong growth in new orders and output. New business was driven by solid domestic demand, while orders from abroad fell at the fastest pace in two years in part due to Argentina’s economic woes. In addition, business sentiment was upbeat, recording the best reading in the series’ history. Furthermore, improved dynamics translated into the labor market, and firms added jobs in January at the fastest pace since March. Meanwhile, input cost inflation continued to soften, in part due to the improvement in the real.

Brazil Industrial Production Forecast

The analysts surveyed by FocusEconomics for the LatinFocus Consensus Forecast see industrial production growing 3.2% in 2019, which is unchanged from last month's estimate. In 2020, industrial output is also expected to grow 3.2%.

Author: Angela Bouzanis, Senior Economist

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Brazil PMI Chart

Brazil PMI January 2019

Note: Markit Brazil Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI). A reading above 50 indicates an expansion in business activity while a value below 50 points to a contraction.
Source: IHS Markit.

Brazil Economic News

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    In December, economic activity increased 0.2% in seasonally-adjusted month-on-month terms, according to the Central Bank’s monthly indicator for economic activity (IBC-Br, Indice de Atividade Economica do Banco Central).

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  • Brazil: Retail sales record worst result in nearly two years in December

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    Retail sales (excluding cars and construction) fell 2.2% from the previous month in seasonally-adjusted terms in December, notably contrasting November’s revised 3.1% expansion (previously reported: +2.9% month-on-month) and the largest drop since January 2016. Declines were recorded in five of the eight categories of the index, with notably contractions in sales of other articles for personal and domestic use, and furniture and household appliances. On an annual basis, retail sales rose 0.6% in December, notably below November’s 4.5% expansion.

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  • Brazil: Inflation inches up in January

    February 8, 2019

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    February 6, 2019

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