Sweden Inflation January 2018

Sweden

Sweden: Inflation ticks down in January

February 20, 2018

Consumer prices in Sweden fell 0.8% in January on a month-on-month basis according to data released by Statistics Sweden (SCB). This contrasted December’s 0.4% rise and was slightly below market expectations. The SCB’s data showed that the drop was driven by lower prices for clothing and footwear, transport and food and non-alcoholic beverages. January’s fall was also accentuated by a re-weighting of items in the inflation basket in order to account for changing consumption patterns.

Inflation dipped from 1.7% in December to 1.6% in January. As a result, inflation moved slightly further from the Riksbank’s 2.0% target, but was still firmly within the 1.0%-3.0% tolerance band. Meanwhile, annual average inflation came in at 1.8%, matching December’s figure. The CPI with interest rates held constant (CPIF) was 1.7% in January, down from 1.9% in December.

The Central Bank expects inflation to average 1.7% in 2018 and 2.6% in 2019. FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect inflation to average 1.9% in 2018 and 2.1% in 2019, propped up by highly accommodative monetary policy and a robust economy. However, the expected appreciation of the krona over the next few years will keep a lid on price increases.


Author:, Economist

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Sweden Inflation January 2018

Note: Year-on-year and month-on-month variation of consumer price index in %.
Source: Statistics Sweden (SCB).


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