India Inflation August 2019

India

India: Consumer price inflation accelerates slightly in August

September 12, 2019

In August, consumer prices rose 0.49% compared to the previous month, down from July’s 0.91% increase. The increase was largely due to more expensive food and beverages, although a decrease in energy prices weighed on the overall reading.

Consumer price inflation accelerated to 3.2% in August from July’s 3.1% print. As a result, inflation remained below the 4.0% midpoint of the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) target range of 2.0%–6.0%.

Wholesale prices decreased 0.25% month-on-month in July, the latest month for which data is available, which is down from the revised 0.08% drop in June (previously reported: +0.25% month-on-month). July’s decrease was primarily due to lower prices for fuel and energy. Wholesale price inflation decelerated to 1.1% in July, down from 2.0% in June.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect consumer price inflation to average 3.7% in FY 2019, which is down 0.1 percentage points from last month’s forecast. In FY 2020, the panel expects consumer price inflation to average 4.3%. Meanwhile, our panel projects wholesale inflation of 3.1% for FY 2019, down 0.6 percentage points from last month’s report. In FY 2020, our panel foresees wholesale inflation averaging 3.9%.


Author:, Economist

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India Inflation August 2019

Note: Annual and monthly variation of wholesale price index (WPI) and annual variation of consumer price index (CPI) in %.
Source: Ministry of Commerce and Industry and FocusEconomics calculations.


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