Guatemala Inflation July 2021

Guatemala

Guatemala: Inflation remains steady in May

August 10, 2021

Consumer prices increased 0.33% from the previous month in July, picking up from the 0.19% increase logged in June. The print, which marked the steepest monthly increase since March, reflected a notable uptick in transportation costs amid pricier oil, and a jump in food prices.

Inflation, meanwhile, inched down to 3.8% in July from 3.9% in June. July’s result marked the lowest reading in one year. Lastly, the trend pointed up as annual average inflation reached 5.0% in July from 4.9% in June.

Analysts at the EIU added:

“We expect inflation to end the year at 4.5% and to remain within the target range throughout the 2021-25 forecast period, averaging 4.2%. Risks to our forecast include a continued rise in oil prices and adverse weather conditions, including the delayed impact of hurricanes Eta and Iota on the 2021 harvest; they have hit agricultural production and could exert significant inflationary pressures on food prices.”

FocusEconomics panelists see inflation ending 2020 at 3.4%. For 2021, our panelists expect inflation to end the year at 3.7%.


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Guatemala Inflation July 2021

Note: Annual and monthly variation of consumer price index in %.
Source: Central Bank of Guatemala


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