China: Retail sales growth gains steam in September
October 18, 2021
Retail sales expanded 4.4% year-on-year in September (August: +2.5% yoy). Improved growth in September was likely linked to the taming of the domestic Covid-19 flare-ups which had dampened retail sales in August.
On a monthly basis, retail sales rose 0.3% in seasonally-adjusted terms in September, which was above August’s 0.2% uptick. Meanwhile, annual average growth of retail sales was unchanged at August's 14.4% in September. Looking ahead, soft domestic tourism data during the Golden Week holiday in early October bodes poorly for retail sales in the month, and the risk of further stop-start public health restrictions is an important downside risk.