China Industry February 2019

China

China: Industrial production loses momentum at the outset of the year

March 14, 2019

Industrial production increased 5.3% year-on-year in January–February, down from the 5.7% rise registered in December. The print was below market expectations of a 5.6% increase and the weakest result since the same period in 2009.

The reading reflected a sizeable slowdown in mining and the electricity, heating power, gas, and water sector. Conversely, growth in manufacturing output inched up in the same period.

On a month-on-month basis, industrial production increased 0.43% in seasonally-adjusted terms in February, matching January’s result. Annual average growth in industrial production, meanwhile, inched down from 6.1% in January to 6.0% in February.

China Industrial Production Forecast


FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast participants expect industrial production to rise 5.9% in 2019, which is down 0.1 percentage points from the previous month’s forecast. In 2020, the panel sees industrial production growth decelerating to 5.7%.


Author: Ricard Torné, Lead Economist

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China Industry February 2019

Note: Year-on-year variation of industrial production index and annual average growth rate in %. Owing to seasonal factors related to the Lunar New Year, annual figures in January and February are reported together.
Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS) and FocusEconomics calculations.


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