Uruguay Economic Outlook
June 14, 2022Growth appeared to pick up in Q1. Agricultural prices, which hit levels not seen since 2008, led year-on-year export growth to average 35.1% in the quarter. Private consumption probably weathered the Omicron wave relatively well—the country has one of the world’s highest vaccination rates. This said, lingering Covid-19 restrictions and rising inflation will have capped spending. Turning to Q2, the government loosened Covid-19 restrictions in April, boosting economic activity. It also cut taxes and raised public sector pensions and wages that same month, supporting consumption at the expense of a wider fiscal deficit. In other news, the IMF concluded its visit on 3 June, and voiced support for short-term targeted measures to shield the economy from higher inflation. The Fund also stressed the importance of continued fiscal consolidation.
Uruguay Economic GrowthThe economy’s expansion will be above its long-term pre-pandemic average this year. Elevated prices for agricultural commodities will strengthen the external sector, while looser Covid-19 restrictions should support domestic demand. Given that a recent referendum to block the president’s pro-market reforms only narrowly failed, further challenges to the president’s agenda pose risks. FocusEconomics analysts see the economy expanding 4.0% in 2022, which is up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month’s forecast. In 2023, our panel estimates growth of 2.7%.
Uruguay Economy Data
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|Exchange Rate||37.33||0.24 %||Jan 01|
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Uruguay Economic News
June 7, 2022
Consumer prices increased 0.46% from the previous month in May, below April's 0.49% rise.
May 17, 2022
At its 17 May meeting, the Monetary Policy Committee of the Central Bank of Uruguay decided to deliver a 75 basis-point increase in a split vote, bringing the monetary policy rate to 9.25%.
May 12, 2022
Industrial output expanded 5.5% compared to the same month a year earlier in March, which followed February’s 11.5% increase. Meanwhile, annual average industrial production growth rose to 14.5% in January (December: +14.3%), signaling an improving trend in the industrial sector.
May 5, 2022
Consumer prices increased 0.49% from the previous month in April, below the 1.11% increase recorded in March.
April 8, 2022
At its 8 April meeting, the Monetary Policy Committee of the Central Bank of Uruguay hiked its monetary policy rate by 125 basis points to 8.50%.