Industry in Russia
Russia - Industry
Industrial production runs out of steam in March
Industrial output edged up 0.3% year-on-year in March, slowing markedly from the 3.3% increase in February and marking the weakest expansion since May 2019. As a result, annual industrial production growth eased to 1.5% in Q1 2020, from 1.8% in Q4 2019.
The downturn at the end of Q1 was broad-based. Growth in the all-important manufacturing sector nearly halved in March, thus spearheading the overall downturn. Moreover, mining and quarrying output contracted at the sharpest rate since our records began in 2014, amid increasing turmoil in global commodity markets. In a similar fashion, activity in both the electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply, and water supply and sewage sectors shrunk at a more rapid pace in March than in the previous month.
On a monthly basis, industrial production fell 1.3% in seasonally- and calendar-adjusted terms, reversing February’s 0.5% increase. Meanwhile, annual average growth in industrial production ticked down to an over three-year low of 2.1% in the final month of Q1, from 2.2% in February.
The FocusEconomics panel of analysts expects industrial output to fall 1.3% next year, which is down 3.7 percentage points from last month’s forecast. For 2021, the panel expects industrial production to increase 2.4%.
Russia - Industry Data
|Industrial Production (annual variation in %)||1.6||-0.8||2.1||2.2||3.5|
5 years of economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
Russia Industry Chart
Source: Russian Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) and FocusEconomics calculations.
|Bond Yield||6.23||0.13 %||Dec 30|
|Exchange Rate||62.03||-0.12 %||Dec 30|
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May 19, 2020
According to a preliminary estimate released by Rosstat on 19 May, GDP grew 1.6% in annual terms in Q1 2020, decelerating from Q4 2019’s 2.1% expansion.
May 8, 2020
Merchandise exports dived 19.1% year-on-year and totaled USD 28.1 in February (January: -2.6% year-on-year).
May 7, 2020
In March, consumer prices rose 0.8% over the previous month, accelerating modestly from March’s 0.6% rise and marking the largest increase since January 2019.
May 7, 2020
The IHS Markit Russia Services Business Activity Index nosedived to 12.2 in April, from 37.1 in March, marking the lowest result since the series began in October 2001.
April 30, 2020
The Russia IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI nosedived to an all-time low of 31.3 in April, from 47.5 in March.