Exchange Rate in Romania
Romania - Exchange Rate (average of period)
Leu weakens to an all-time low in late December amid protests against judiciary reform
The Romanian leu (RON) came under pressure in late December amid unrest caused by protests against government plans to reform the judicial system. On 29 December, the leu closed the day at an all-time low against the euro of 4.67 RON per EUR, which represented a slight 0.6% depreciation over the same day of the previous month. As of 29 December, the leu had lost 2.8% of its value year-to-date and was also 2.8% weaker compared to the same day last year.
In 2017, the leu hit several record lows, as controversial decisions by the Social Democrat-led government coalition prompted widespread protests. Romanians have been protesting over claims that the government wants to overhaul the justice system to debilitate the fight against corruption. At the end of November, the U.S. State Department called on Romania's parliament not to approve laws that could hamper the judicial fight against corruption, and in late December seven EU member states urged the government not to weaken the independence of the judiciary.
All told, currency-related distress is likely to mitigate going forward. The economy remains buoyant, and the Central Bank is expected to tighten its monetary stance; however, political unrest could continue, and the current account balance will remain in deficit due to the country’s capital imports. The currency is thus expected to remain broadly stable against the euro this year and appreciate slightly in 2019.
The FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panel expects the RON to end 2018 at 4.62 per EUR, and it projects the leu will appreciate further, to 4.56 per EUR, by the end of 2019.
Romania - Exchange Rate vs EUR (aop) Data
|Exchange Rate (vs EUR, aop)||4.42||4.44||4.44||4.49||4.57|
5 years of economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
Romania Exchange Rate vs EUR (aop) Chart
Source: Thomson Reuters.
|Bond Yield||4.07||0.23 %||Sep 04|
|Exchange Rate||4.29||-0.34 %||Sep 04|
|Stock Market||9,262||-0.59 %||Sep 04|
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October 14, 2019
Industrial production fell 7.0% on an annual basis in August, following July’s 3.0% contraction and marking the worst result since June 2009.
October 11, 2019
Consumer prices rose 0.1% month-on-month in September, matching August’s result.
October 10, 2019
GDP grew 4.4% year-on-year in the second quarter (Q1: +5.0% year-on-year), according to a second release published by Romania’s Statistical Institute on 10 October.
October 3, 2019
On 3 October, the National Bank of Romania (NBR) kept the policy rate unchanged at 2.50%, while also leaving the deposit facility rate at 1.50%, the lending facility (Lombard) rate at 3.50% and maintaining the reserve requirements on both leu- and foreign currency-denominated liabilities.
September 12, 2019
Industrial output fell 3.0% on an annual basis in July, an improvement from June’s 6.2% contraction but marking the second fall in a row.