Ireland PMI February 2021


Ireland: Services PMI rises in February but remains in contractionary territory

March 3, 2021

The AIB services sector Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) rose from 36.2 in January to 41.2 in February. Consequently, the index continued to remain well below the 50-threshold that separates contraction from expansion in business activity.

February’s upturn largely reflected a more moderate decline in both business activity and new work. The transport, tourism and leisure sector again contracted the sharpest, albeit at a slower rate than January. Moreover, new business declined again, although at a softer pace, amid still-suppressed domestic and external demand, notably from the UK. These weak conditions also led firms to cut their workforce numbers for the 11th straight month. Regarding prices, although firms reported higher fuel, insurance, salaries and shipping costs, output charges were lowered in an effort to remain competitive. More positively, firms’ sentiment reached a 13-month high, driven by expectations for a resurgence in business once restrictions are lifted as vaccination campaigns take hold.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists project fixed investment to contract 9.0% in 2021, which is down 0.3 percentage points from last month’s forecast. For 2022, the panel sees fixed investment growth at 6.0%.


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Ireland PMI Chart

Ireland Services PMI February 2021

Note: Investec Services PMI. Readings above 50 indicate an overall increase in business activity compared to the previous month, and below 50 an overall decrease.
Source: AIB and IHS Markit.

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