Ireland PMI August 2018

Ireland

Ireland: Services PMI climbs in August

September 5, 2018

The Investec service Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) climbed to 58.0 points in August, up from 57.4 points in July. The index remains above the critical 50-point threshold that separates expansion from contraction in the sector, where it has been for more than five years, and August’s reading signals more buoyant conditions in the Irish services sector.

Improved economic conditions in August fueled a sharp rise in new business, with the rate of expansion speeding up over the month. Increasing new orders from clients in the U.K. spurred a rise in new export orders from Irish service providers. As a result, backlogs of work climbed during August, although the pace at which it did so eased to a one-year low. Firms increased their in-take of workers, with the rate of hire rising to the highest in the year-to-date. On the price front, input prices climbed at a sharp pace, largely owing to higher fuel and staff costs. Output prices were raised accordingly to transfer the burden of cost-adjustment onto clients.

Commenting on the business confidence index, Philip O’Sullivan, Investec’s Chief Economist for Ireland, stated:

“Looking ahead, although the Business Activity: Expected Levels in 12 Months’ Time index slowed to its lowest level since October last year, its level is consistent with strong optimism amongst service sector firms […] Considered alongside the Investec Manufacturing PMI Ireland report, this week’s PMI releases suggest that the rate of growth in activity across much of Ireland’s private sector remains strong.”

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect fixed investment to grow 2.6% in 2018, which is up 0.1 percentage points from last month’s forecast. For 2019, the panel sees fixed investment growth accelerating to 5.0%, which is down 1.7 percentage points from last month’s estimate.


Author:, Economist

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Ireland Services PMI August 2018 0

Note: Investec Services PMI. Readings above 50 indicate an expansion in the services sector while readings below 50 indicate a contraction.
Source: Investec and IHS Markit.


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