Ireland PMI January 2017


Ireland: Manufacturers start year on solid footing

February 1, 2017

The Investec Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for Ireland dropped marginally from December’s 17-month high of 55.7 to 55.5 in January. The drop, however, is not considered to be statistically significant since the monthly print points to another sharp increase in activity in the Irish manufacturing sector. The indicator remains above the 50-threshold that separates expansion from contraction in the manufacturing sector, where it has been for 44 consecutive months.

January’s reading was buttressed by another sharp increase in new orders, which rose at their fastest pace since July 2015. The surge in new orders resulted in increased production and higher staffing among Irish manufacturers. Increased production resulted in an accumulation of backlogs of work and contributed to respondents having an optimistic outlook for their businesses over the coming year.

Regarding the latest price developments, chief economist Philip O’Sullivan commented that, “the rate of input cost inflation accelerated sharply during January to the fastest since October 2012. There were a number of factors behind this, including higher commodity prices, the weakness of the euro against the US dollar and price rises at UK suppliers. Some firms were able to pass on at least a portion of these cost pressures by hiking output prices.”

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect investment to expand 6.1% in 2017, which is down 0.8 percentage points from last month’s forecast. For 2018, the panel sees investment rising 4.7%.

Author: Jean-Philippe Pourcelot, Economist

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Ireland PMI Chart

Ireland Manufacturing PMI January 2017

Note: Markit Purchasing Managers’ Index. Readings above 50 indicate an expansion in the manufacturing sector while readings below 50 point to a contraction.
Source: HIS Markit.

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