Indonesia Retail November 2019


Indonesia: Retail sales lose steam in November

January 10, 2020

In November, retail sales increased 1.3% year-on-year, down from October’s 3.6% increase and markedly below the Central Bank’s initial estimate of 3.4%. November’s slowdown was driven by weaker momentum across most sub-sectors. The Bank expects retail sales to have contracted 0.2% in December, which, if confirmed, would leave the average reading for Q4 little changed from Q3, hinting at broadly stable private consumption.

Going forward, the outlook for private consumption is fairly positive, thanks to the ongoing impact of past monetary easing and a solid labor market.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast participants see private consumption rising 5.1% in 2020, which is down 0.1 percentage points from last month’s forecast. For 2021, panelists see private consumption increasing 5.2%.

Author:, Economist

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Indonesia Retail Chart

Indonesia Retail November 2019

Note: Year-on-year and annual average variation in %.
Source: Bank Indonesia (BI) and FocusEconomics calculations.

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