Bulgaria GDP Q2 2019


Bulgaria: Growth moderates in Q2

August 14, 2019

Bulgaria’s economy grew 3.3% year-on-year in the second quarter, down from the first quarter 3.5% outturn, according to a preliminary release by the Statistical Institute on 14 August.

A rudimentary breakdown showed that total consumption growth slowed to 2.7% in Q2 (Q1: +4.5% year-on-year) amid downbeat consumer sentiment and meager retail sales in the quarter. Fixed investment also lost steam in Q2, growing 2.2% in annual terms (Q1: +2.5% yoy), marking the slowest pace in over two years. Meanwhile, the external sector deteriorated as well: Export growth decelerated amid the wider European pull-back (Q2: +3.3% yoy; Q1: +5.1% yoy), while imports contracted for the first time in over seven years (Q2: -5.5% yoy; Q1: +3.9% yoy).

On a quarter-on-quarter, seasonally-adjusted basis, growth slowed to an over-five-year-low of 0.6%, from 1.2% in Q1.

More comprehensive data will be released on 5 September.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast participants expect growth of 3.3% in 2019, which is unchanged from last month’s forecast. In 2020, panelists see the economy growing 3.0%.

Author:, Economist

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Bulgaria GDP Chart

Bulgaria GDP Q2 2019

Note: Year-on-year changes of GDP in %
Source: National Statistical Institute (NSI) and FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast

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