Money in Thailand
Thailand - Money
Bank of Thailand leaves policy rate unchanged in September
At its 27 September monetary policy meeting, the Bank of Thailand (BoT) voted unanimously to maintain the one-day repurchase rate at 1.50%, where it has been for over two years. The decision was in line with market expectations. Although policymakers noted the improved outlook for the Thai economy, subdued inflation led the Bank to decide to continue its accommodative monetary policy.
The Bank of Thailand found that economic growth was gaining more traction thanks to strong growth in merchandise exports and tourism. It stated that the recovery in domestic demand has become more broad-based, although household expenditure remained in a perilous state: Private consumption expanded on the back of services and durable goods so far this year but household purchasing power remained weak. Inflation is expected to rise slowly in the wake of a recovery in domestic demand, but lower fresh food prices due to increased output and favorable weather conditions reduced inflationary pressures. As a result, inflation remained below the Bank’s target range of 1.0%–4.0%, despite inching closer (September: 0.9%).
In terms of forward guidance, the Bank struct a neutral tone, relatively unchanged from the prior meeting. Hence it is unlikely that the current accommodative stance will change before year-end in order to continue to support economic expansion and the recovery of domestic demand, which should bring inflation to its target range.
The next monetary policy meeting will be held on 8 November.
FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect the one-day repurchase rate to remain unchanged through year-end, ending 2017 at 1.49%. For 2018, panelists’ expectations diverge more widely, with some expecting a hike, and others expecting a further loosening of the monetary policy. The panel forecasts the monetary policy rate to end the year at 1.68%.
Thailand - Money Data
|Money (annual variation in %)||13.0||3.9||1.3||5.7||4.8|
5 years of economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
Thailand Money Chart
Source: Bank of Thailand and FocusEconomics calculations.
|Bond Yield||2.29||0.0 %||Oct 19|
|Exchange Rate||33.11||0.17 %||Oct 19|
|Stock Market||1,683||-1.41 %||Oct 19|
Get a sample report showing all the data and analysis covered in our Regional, Country and Commodities reports.
Start Your Free Trial
Start working with the reports used by the world’s major financial institutions, multinational enterprises & government agencies now. Click on the button below to get started.
October 9, 2017
Consumer prices in Thailand increased 0.58% over the previous month in September, up from 0.11% in August.
October 6, 2017
At its 27 September monetary policy meeting, the Bank of Thailand (BoT) voted unanimously to maintain the one-day repurchase rate at 1.50%, where it has been for over two years.
September 30, 2017
Manufacturing output increased 3.7% year-on-year in August, which is slightly above the pace of expansion seen in the prior month (July: +3.4% yoy; previously reported: +3.7% yoy) and overshot market expectations of a markedly slower pace of growth.
September 29, 2017
Thailand’s external sector recorded a USD 2.1 billion surplus in August following the first trade deficit since April 2015 in July.
September 2, 2017
Consumer prices increased 0.11% month-on-month in August, contrasting last month’s decrease (July: -0.13% month-on-month).