Thailand Industry March 2018

Thailand

Thailand: Manufacturing output dips to five-month low in March

April 30, 2018

In the final month of the first quarter, industrial output growth moderated from 4.6% year-on-year in February to 2.6%. The result surprised market analysts on the downside, who had expected a softer slowdown to 3.8% annual growth. The easing of momentum came on the back of a noticeable contraction in the manufacture of rubber and plastics products, which was partially offset by robust expansions in the output of food products; motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers; and, chemicals and chemical products. March’s result marked the softest pace of expansion since October 2017, and as a result average industrial production growth slowed from 4.4% in the fourth quarter of last year to 4.0% in the first quarter of this year.

In seasonally-adjusted month-on-month terms, manufacturing production swung from the prior month’s revised 0.7% expansion (previously reported: +0.6% month-on-month) to a 0.3% contraction in March. Finally, annual average growth in manufacturing output crept up from 3.4% in February to 3.5% in March.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect manufacturing output to grow 2.5% in 2018, which is unchanged from last month’s estimate. For 2019, the panel expects manufacturing output to increase 2.6%.


Author:, Economist

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Thailand Industry March 2018 0

Note: Year-on-year changes and annual average variation of manufacturing production index in %.
Source: Office of Industrial Economics (OIE) and FocusEconomics calculations.


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