Poland Business Confidence October 2018


Poland: Business confidence plummets in October

October 19, 2018

In October, the business tendency indicators released by the Central Statistical Office (GUS) showed a decline in business confidence in the manufacturing sector. October’s business climate indicator dropped sharply from 8.8 in September to 4.8, the weakest reading of the year and more in-line with the indicator’s long-run average. Despite the result, business confidence remained above the zero-point mark that distinguishes optimism from pessimism in the manufacturing sector.

October’s deterioration saw weaker assessments across all components of the indicators. Notably, firms’ views of the future economic situation worsened markedly, driven by fears of weaker order books and a bleaker financial situation. Prospects for the labor market edged lower in the month, as well.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect fixed investment to grow 5.2% in 2019, which is up 0.1 percentage points from last month’s estimate. For 2020, the panel sees fixed investment expanding 4.2%.


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Poland Business Confidence Chart

Poland Business Confidence October 2018

Note: Value of month-on-month business confidence index. An index value above 0 indicates a positive assessment of the business climate while a value below 0 indicates a negative assessment.
Source: Central Statistical Office (GUS).

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