Malaysia Economic Outlook
November 17, 2020
Following Q2’s record fall in GDP, activity contracted at a much softer pace in Q3 as Covid-19 restrictions were eased in early June. Exports shrank at a milder pace thanks to increased foreign demand, mainly for electronics, while domestic demand contracted less steeply, with consumer and capital spending both falling at a softer rate. Turning to Q4, incoming data suggests that the recovery might be losing steam. The manufacturing PMI slid further into contractionary territory in October, reflecting moderating growth in new orders and output. This, coupled with the reinstatement of targeted lockdowns in October, bodes ill for private activity. Lastly, on 6 November, the government presented its draft 2021 budget of MYR 322.5 billion (about USD 78 billion)—the largest in the country’s history—based on a 6.5%–7.5% GDP growth rate and a lower fiscal deficit of 5.4% of GDP.Malaysia Economic Growth
The economy is seen contracting sharply this year, before bouncing back in 2021 on the back of firming consumer spending, stronger construction activity and rebounding exports, as demand from key trading partners recovers. That said, the uncertain course of the pandemic clouds the outlook. FocusEconomics panelists see the economy growing 6.6% in 2021, which is unchanged from last month’s forecast. In 2022, the panel sees the economy expanding 4.6%.Malaysia Economy Data
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Malaysia Facts
| Value | Change | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bond Yield | 3.32 | 0.15 % | Dec 31 |
| Exchange Rate | 4.09 | 0.0 % | Jan 01 |
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Malaysia Economic News
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Malaysia: Merchandise exports jump year-on-year in February, surprising on the upside
May 4, 2021
Merchandise export growth soared to an over 10-year high in March, jumping 36.4% year-on-year in USD terms, following February’s 20.6% rise.
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Malaysia: Manufacturing PMI hits new record high in April
May 3, 2021
The manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), produced by IHS Markit, jumped to 53.9 in April, following March’s 49.9, logging the best reading on record.
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Malaysia: Inflation hits near three-year high in March
April 23, 2021
Consumer prices rose a seasonally-adjusted 0.33% in March over the previous month, matching February's reading.
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Malaysia: Industrial output rises at quickest pace in 10 months in February
April 9, 2021
Industrial output grew 1.5% in year-on-year terms in February, which was above January's 1.2% increase.
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Malaysia: Merchandise exports jump year-on-year in February, surprising on the upside
April 2, 2021
Merchandise exports skyrocketed in February, growing 20.6% year-on-year in USD terms (January: 7.6% yoy), logging the sixth consecutive month of expansion and the best reading in nearly three years.
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