Malaysia Economic Outlook
September 17, 2019The economy appears to have lost some momentum in the third quarter following a strong GDP outturn in the second quarter. The manufacturing PMI remains mired in contractionary territory due to stagnating foreign demand amid the ongoing U.S.-China trade row. Likewise, industrial production growth staggered to a five-year low in July on a sharp downturn in mining output. Moreover, while merchandise exports rebounded in July, growth was lackluster as the downturn in the tech sector continues to weigh on electronic demand. On a brighter note, a looser monetary policy should help cushion a slowdown. Meanwhile, recent reports of a sharp influx of U.S. private investment in H1—likely due to supply chain diversions related to the trade war—bodes well for the manufacturing and services sectors.
Malaysia Economic GrowthEconomic growth is seen slowing in H2 and into 2020 as prolonged trade tensions and weak tech demand hinder the export-reliant economy. However, a ramp-up in public spending on infrastructure and a pick-up in investment and exports next year should soften the slowdown. The U.S.-China trade dispute and a downturn in China continue to cloud the outlook. FocusEconomics panelists forecast the economy growing 4.5% in 2019 and 4.3% in 2020, which is down 0.1 percentage points from last month’s forecast.
Malaysia Economy Data
5 years of Malaysia economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
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|Bond Yield||3.30||0.15 %||Sep 04|
|Exchange Rate||4.21||0.0 %||Sep 04|
|Stock Market||1,600||-0.29 %||Sep 04|
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Malaysia Economic News
September 12, 2019
The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of Bank Negara Malaysia (BMN) kept the overnight policy rate unchanged at 3.00% at its 12 September meeting, as was expected by market analysts.
September 11, 2019
Industrial output increased 1.2% over the same month a year prior in July, down from the 3.9% rise recorded in June, marking a five-year low and missing market expectations of 3.5% growth.
September 4, 2019
Exports rose 0.3% in USD terms over the same month a year prior in July, recovering from the 7.3% plunge in June.
September 3, 2019
The manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), produced by IHS Markit, ticked down to 47.4 in August from 47.6 in July.
August 16, 2019
The economy expanded 4.9% in annual terms in the second quarter, up from the first quarter’s 4.5% year-on-year acceleration and above market expectations of a 4.8% expansion.