Japan Industry February 2018

Japan

Japan: Industrial production growth rebounds in February to near seven-year high

March 30, 2018

Industrial production rebounded in February, expanding 4.1% on a month-on-month, seasonally-adjusted basis after contracting 6.8% in January. Despite the strong headline figure, which marked the highest pace of growth since mid-2011, production came in below analysts’ expectations of a 5.0% growth rate.

The categories that mainly contributed to the month-on-month increase were transport equipment; general-purpose, production and business-oriented machinery; and electronic parts and devices, in that order.

On an annual basis, industrial output grew 1.4% in February, slowing from January’s 2.5% increase. Annual average growth in industrial production ticked down from 4.5% in January to 4.3% in February.

The Survey of Production Forecast showed that manufacturers were feeling more optimistic in March. They expected industrial production to have expanded 0.9% in March, up from the 2.7% contraction forecast for February in the previous survey. Furthermore, manufacturers expect industrial output to grow 5.2% in April.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists see industrial production rising 2.8% in 2018, which is down 0.2 percentage points from last month’s projection. For 2019 the panel expects industrial production to expand 2.2%.


Author:, Economist

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Japan Industry February 2018

Note: Month-on-month changes of seasonally-adjusted industrial production and year-on-year growth rate in %.
Source: Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) and FocusEconomics calculations.


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