Egypt Inflation October 2020

Egypt

Egypt: Inflation hits highest level since June in October

November 10, 2020

Consumer prices increased 1.83% over the previous month in October, picking up from September's 0.29% rise. October's reading was the sharpest increase in prices since October 2018. The pick-up was largely driven by rising prices for food and non-alcoholic beverages.

Inflation came in at 4.6% in October, which was up from September’s 3.7%. October's reading was the highest inflation rate since June. Meanwhile, the trend pointed up mildly, with annual average inflation coming in at 5.0% in October (September: 4.9%). Lastly, core inflation rose to 3.9% from September’s 3.3%.

Regarding October’s reading, Farouk Soussa, economist at Goldman Sachs, commented:

“The increase in inflation in October was surprisingly broad-based, given ongoing weakness in domestic demand and the strengthening of the Pound. Looking ahead, the higher-than-expected October inflation print raises our year-end inflation projection to 5.4%yoy, from a forecast of 4.5% previously.”

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect inflation to average 6.2% in CY 2020, which is down 0.4 percentage points from last month’s forecast, and 7.4% in CY 2021.


Author:, Economist

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Egypt Inflation Chart


Egypt Inflation October 20 20 0

Note: Year-on-year and month-on-month variation of urban consumer price index in %.
Source: Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics (CAPMAS).


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