Canada PMI June 2019


Canada: IHS Markit manufacturing PMI virtually unchanged in June, signals worsening operating conditions

July 2, 2019

In June, the IHS Markit Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) ticked up to 49.2 from 49.1 in May. The index thus remained below the 50-point threshold for the third consecutive month, signaling worsening manufacturing operating conditions. The average PMI reading for Q2 came in well below Q1’s average, which signals that the manufacturing sector will likely weigh on Q2’s headline GDP figure.

June’s reading reflected a deterioration in output and new orders, although employment rose. Backlogs of work fell at the sharpest rate since data collection began in October 2010. On the price front, input and output price inflation was moderate in June.

Looking ahead, the manufacturing sector will likely remain soft in the coming months as a moderate global growth outlook weighs on demand for Canadian goods. That said, Trump’s decision to lift tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum could support momentum somewhat.

FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect fixed investment to contract 0.6% in 2019, which is up 1.0 percentage point from last month’s forecast. For 2020, our panel projects fixed investment to increase 2.1%.

Author:, Economist

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Canada PMI Chart

Canada PMI June 2019

Note: IHS Markit Purchasing Managers’ Index. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion in purchasing activity while a value below 50 indicates a contraction.
Source: IHS Markit.

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