Brazil Industrial production June 2020


Brazil: Industrial output logs best reading in two years in June

August 4, 2020

Industrial output expanded 8.9% month-on-month in seasonally-adjusted terms in June, which was above May's 8.2% increase. The print marked the best result since June 2018 and beat market expectations of a 7.7% rise.

Looking at the details of the release, consumer goods production picked up pace in June, while intermediate goods production weakened over the previous month. Meanwhile, durable consumer goods production as well as non-durable consumer goods production moderated.

On an annual basis, factory output plunged 9.0% in June, a smaller decrease than May’s 21.9% fall. Meanwhile, the trend pointed down, with the annual average variation of industrial production coming in at minus 5.7%, down from May's minus 5.4%.

Commenting on the outlook for the industrial sector, Alberto Ramos, economist at Goldman Sachs, noted:

“Going forward, we expect the industrial sector to continue on a gradual recovery path in tandem with the expected further gradual easing of social distancing protocols and measures to limit movement and activity.”

FocusEconomics LatinFocus Consensus Forecast panelists see industrial production declining 10.1% in 2020, which is down 0.5 percentage points from last month's estimate. In 2021, industrial output is projected to grow 6.1%.

Author:, Economist

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Brazil Industrial production Chart

Brazil Industry June 20 20

Note: Month-on-month changes of seasonally adjusted industrial production and annual average growth rate in %.
Source: Brazil Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) and FocusEconomics calculations

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