Brazil Industrial production January 2021

Brazil

Brazil: Industrial output growth eases in January

March 5, 2021

Industrial output rose 0.4% in month-on-month seasonally-adjusted terms in January, which followed December's 0.8% increase and was in line with market analysts’ expectations. The figure marked the worst reading since April 2020. Looking at the details of the release, intermediate goods output contracted in January, while consumer and capital goods output accelerated from the previous month. Lastly, durable consumer goods production declined in January, while non-durable consumer goods output gained momentum.

On an annual basis, factory output rose at a softer pace of 2.0% in January (December: +8.3% yoy). Meanwhile, the trend improved slightly, with the annual average variation of industrial production coming in at minus 4.2%, up from December's minus 4.4%.

FocusEconomics LatinFocus Consensus Forecast panelists see industrial production expanding 5.9% in 2021, which is up 1.0 percentage point from last month's estimate. In 2022, industrial output is projected to grow 3.0%.


Author:, Economist

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Brazil Industry January 2021

Note: Month-on-month changes of seasonally adjusted industrial production and annual average growth rate in %.
Source: Brazil Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) and FocusEconomics calculations


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