Argentina Economic Activity April 2018

Argentina

Argentina: Economic activity plunges in April

June 26, 2018

The monthly indicator for economic activity (EMAE, Estimador Mensual de Actividad Económica) contracted 0.9% in annual terms in April, contrasting the upwardly revised 2.0% expansion registered in March (previously reported: +1.4% year-on-year). April’s print marked the worst performance since February 2017 and ended thirteen months of consecutive economic expansion.

The contraction was primarily driven by a 30.8% drop in agriculture, livestock, hunting and forestry activity in April (March: -3.8% year-on-year), which was struck hard by the effects of the drought on crop yields. Meanwhile, growth in the manufacturing industry accelerated to 3.1% in April (March: +0.6% yoy) and construction activity picked up 10.2% (March: +5.0% yoy). Moreover, activity in the financial intermediation sector gained momentum at 9.4% growth in April (March: +3.5% yoy).

A seasonally-adjusted month-on-month comparison shows that economic activity contracted for the fourth consecutive month, falling 2.7% in April, which was the largest drop in six years (March: -0.2% month-on-month).

Lastly, average economic activity inched down to 3.5% in April from 3.6% in March.

Argentina GDP Forecast


FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect economic growth of 1.7% in 2018, which is down 0.6 percentage points from last month’s forecast. For 2019, panelists see the economy expanding 2.5%.


Author:, Economist

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Argentina Economic Activity Chart


Argentina Economic Activity April 2018

Note: Year-on-year changes and annual average growth rate of monthly economic activity in %.
Source: Argentina National Statistical Institute (INDEC) and FocusEconomics calculations.


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