Mexico Economic Forecast

Mexico Economic Outlook

March 14, 2017

Mexico’s economy is in the frontline of the new U.S. administration’s veer towards protectionism and anti-immigration policies and this is causing huge uncertainty and concern in the country, given its dependence on the U.S economy. Despite relatively solid macro fundamentals, economic growth disappointed last year and recent data indicate the country is walking on quicksand at the beginning of the year. Whatever position the Trump administration eventually adopts regarding trade and immigration policies towards Mexico, it will take several months for any policy changes to actually materialize. This uncertainty in itself will affect business and investor confidence, with investment suffering a negative shock. Already shaken by the fuel price increase in January, consumer confidence is also likely to remain low, hurting private consumption.

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Mexico Facts

ValueChangeDate
Bond Yield7.08-0.84 %Mar 23
Exchange Rate18.93-0.50 %Mar 23
Stock Market48,6770.39 %Mar 23

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Mexico Economic Growth

March 14, 2017

Under these conditions, and since economic policy will remain restrictive this year, Mexico’s growth prospects are eroding. FocusEconomics’ Consensus Forecast for 2017 GDP growth was cut by 0.1 percentage points to 1.5% in our March survey, while the projection for 2018 was left unchanged at last month’s 2.1%.

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