Mexico Economic Forecast

Mexico Economic Outlook

December 5, 2016

Arguably, no other country in the world will be as uneasy over its future as Mexico following the victory of Donald Trump in the U.S. election. Trump’s anti-Latino and protectionist rhetoric taps into the two most important issues in the U.S.-Mexico relationship, namely immigration and the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). It remains to be seen whether Trump will implement his most radical proposals on these issues, but Republican control of the U.S. Congress will certainly give him scope for action. At the same time, the latest data give little hope of stronger growth in the final quarter of 2016, following a deceleration in Q3.

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Mexico Facts

ValueChangeDate
Bond Yield7.29-0.41 %Dec 06
Exchange Rate20.40-0.95 %Dec 06
Stock Market45,1030.37 %Dec 06

Mexico Economic Growth

December 5, 2016

The substantial impact that Trump’s policies could have on Mexico’s economy have weakened its growth prospects. Analysts expect the economy to decelerate further to 2.0% growth in 2017, which is down 0.3 percentage points from last month’s projection, after an estimated 2.1% growth in 2016.

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