Small Economies – MENA Region Award Winners
The FocusEconomics 10th Anniversary Analyst Forecast Awards celebrate a decade of recognizing the world’s most accurate economic forecasters. Below are the top three ranked forecasters for each indicator across the Middle East & North Africa region, covering 6 countries.
GDP
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan |
Standard Chartered
Bader Al Sarraf
|
Fitch Ratings
Cedric Julien Berry, Erich Arispe Morales
|
Emirates NBD
Daniel Richards
|
| Kuwait |
Standard Chartered
Bader Al Sarraf
|
Credit Agricole
Research Team
|
Oxford Economics
Tianchen Peng
|
| Morocco |
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
Capital Economics
Research Team
|
Moody’s Analytics
Charlie Houston, Sergio Lopez Caro
|
| Oman |
JPMorgan
Francesco Arcangeli
|
Citigroup Global Mkts
Ilker Domac-Gultekin Isiklar
|
Oxford Economics
Maya Senussi
|
| Qatar |
HSBC
Simon Williams
|
EmergingMarketWatch
Metodi Tzanov
|
Citigroup Global Mkts
Ilker Domac-Gultekin Isiklar
|
| Tunisia |
Emirates NBD
Daniel Richards
|
Moody’s Analytics
Charlie Houston
|
Euromonitor International
Economies & Consumers Team
|
6 countries
Inflation
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan |
Emirates NBD
Daniel Richards
|
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
EGFC
Ali Metwally
|
| Kuwait |
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
National Bank of Kuwait
Research Team
|
Credit Agricole
Research Team
|
| Morocco |
Capital Economics
James Swanston
|
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
Fitch Ratings
Mohamed Afifi, Cedric Julien Berry
|
| Oman |
Emirates NBD
Daniel Richards
|
EGFC
Ali Metwally
|
JPMorgan
Francesco Arcangeli
|
| Qatar |
Goldman Sachs
Farouk Soussa
|
Capital Economics
Research Team
|
JPMorgan
Francesco Arcangeli
|
| Tunisia |
JPMorgan
Francesco Arcangeli
|
EGFC
Ali Metwally
|
Oxford Economics
Pieter du Preez
|
6 countries
Current Account
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan |
Standard Chartered
Bader Al Sarraf
|
EGFC
Ali Metwally
|
EIU
Dominic Pratt
|
| Qatar |
Standard Chartered
Carla Slim
|
Credit Agricole
Research Team
|
HSBC
Simon Williams
|
| Tunisia |
JPMorgan
Francesco Arcangeli
|
EIU
Andrew Gilmour
|
Fitch Ratings
Thomas Garreau, Cedric Julien Berry
|
3 countries
Fiscal Balance
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan |
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
Oxford Economics
Tianchen Peng
|
— |
| Morocco |
Scope Ratings
Thomas Gillet, Dennis Shen
|
Fitch Ratings
Mohamed Afifi, Cedric Julien Berry
|
EIU
Connor Coleman
|
| Qatar |
Moody’s Analytics
Suren Vardanyan
|
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
EIU
Pratibha Thaker
|
3 countries
Exchange Rate
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco |
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
Capital Economics
Research Team
|
Oxford Economics
Christopher Farquhar
|
| Tunisia |
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
Fitch Ratings
Thomas Garreau, Cedric Julien Berry
|
Moody’s Analytics
Charlie Houston
|
2 countries
Interest Rate
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kuwait |
HSBC
Simon Williams
|
Emirates NBD
Daniel Richards
|
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
| Oman |
Emirates NBD
Daniel Richards
|
HSBC
Simon Williams
|
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
| Tunisia |
Fitch Ratings
Thomas Garreau, Cedric Julien Berry
|
Oxford Economics
Pieter du Preez
|
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
3 countries
Unemployment
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan |
Fitch Ratings
Cedric Julien Berry, Erich Arispe Morales
|
Oxford Economics
Tianchen Peng
|
Euromonitor International
Economies & Consumers Team
|
| Morocco |
Scope Ratings
Thomas Gillet, Dennis Shen
|
Euromonitor International
Economies & Consumers Team
|
EIU
Connor Coleman
|
| Tunisia |
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
Oxford Economics
Pieter du Preez
|
Euromonitor International
Economies & Consumers Team
|
3 countries
Overall
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan |
Emirates NBD
Daniel Richards
|
Standard Chartered
Bader Al Sarraf
|
EGFC
Ali Metwally
|
| Kuwait |
Credit Agricole
Research Team
|
Standard Chartered
Bader Al Sarraf
|
EGFC
Ali Metwally
|
| Morocco |
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
Capital Economics
Research Team
|
Moody’s Analytics
Charlie Houston, Sergio Lopez Caro
|
| Oman |
JPMorgan
Francesco Arcangeli
|
Emirates NBD
Daniel Richards
|
EGFC
Ali Metwally
|
| Qatar |
HSBC
Simon Williams
|
Oxford Economics
Maya Senussi
|
Citigroup Global Mkts
Ilker Domac-Gultekin Isiklar
|
| Tunisia |
Moody’s Analytics
Charlie Houston
|
Oxford Economics
Pieter du Preez
|
EGFC
Ali Metwally
|
6 countries
Rankings determined by FocusEconomics’ proprietary accuracy methodology. Where two forecasters achieved equal accuracy, both are listed at the same rank.