Small Economies – Euro Area Award Winners
The FocusEconomics 10th Anniversary Analyst Forecast Awards celebrate a decade of recognizing the world’s most accurate economic forecasters. Below are the top three ranked forecasters for each indicator across the Euro Area region, covering 6 countries.
GDP
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cyprus |
Eurobank
Michail Vassileiadis
|
S&P Global Market Intelligence
Michał Płocheć
|
Alpha Bank
Economic Research Team
|
| Estonia |
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
Swedbank
Tõnu Mertsina, Swedbank
|
Fitch Ratings
Milan Trajkovic, Douglas Winslow
|
| Luxembourg |
S&P Global Market Intelligence
Timo Klein
|
Moody’s Analytics
David Muir
|
Fitch Ratings
Malgorzata Wegner, Arvind Ramakrishnan
|
| Malta |
Scope Ratings
Thomas Gillet
|
S&P Global Market Intelligence
Marta Kaczmarek
|
Fitch Ratings
Greg Kiss, Malgorzata Wegner
|
| Slovakia |
VÚB Banka
Michal Lehuta
|
Oxford Economics
Tomas Dvorak
|
Raiffeisen Research
Research Team
|
| Slovenia |
Moody’s Analytics
Tom Campbell
|
EIU
Dan Ridler
|
Erste Bank Croatia
Ivana Rogic Kovac
|
6 countries
Inflation
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cyprus |
Eurobank
Michail Vassileiadis
|
Allianz
Maddalena Martini (Allianz Research)
|
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
| Estonia |
Moody’s Analytics
Matt Benstock, Rachael Steven
|
Allianz
Jasmin Gröschl (Allianz Research)
|
S&P Global Market Intelligence
Michał Płocheć
|
| Luxembourg |
DekaBank
Research Team
|
EIU
The Europe team
|
Moody’s Analytics
David Muir
|
| Malta |
Fitch Ratings
Greg Kiss, Malgorzata Wegner
|
Scope Ratings
Thomas Gillet
|
S&P Global Market Intelligence
Marta Kaczmarek
|
| Slovakia |
KBC
Marek Gabris
|
Hume’s Institute
Forecasting and Econometric Modelling Team
|
S&P Global Market Intelligence
David Vagenknecht
|
| Slovenia |
S&P Global Market Intelligence
Andy Birch
|
WIIW
Niko Korpar
|
Scope Ratings
Thomas Gillet, Jakob Suwalski
|
6 countries
Current Account
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cyprus |
EIU
The Europe team
|
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
Eurobank
Konstantinos Vrachimis
|
| Estonia |
Oxford Economics
Nico Palesch
|
Capital Economics
Liam Peach
|
S&P Global Market Intelligence
Michał Płocheć
|
| Luxembourg |
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
Oxford Economics
Alexander Valentin
|
S&P Global Market Intelligence
Timo Klein
|
| Slovakia |
KBC
Marek Gabris
|
Komercní Banka
Kevin Tran
|
Capital Economics
Liam Peach
|
| Slovenia |
Analytics CCIS
Darja Močnik
|
S&P Global Market Intelligence
Andy Birch
|
EIU
Dan Ridler
|
5 countries
Fiscal Balance
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cyprus |
Eurobank
Konstantinos Vrachimis
|
Scope Ratings
Thomas Gillet, Carlo Capuano
|
Fitch Ratings
Federico Barriga Salazar, Malgorzata Wegner
|
| Estonia |
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
Oxford Economics
Nico Palesch
|
SEB
Mihkel Nestor
|
| Luxembourg |
S&P Global Market Intelligence
Timo Klein
|
DekaBank
Research Team
|
Scope Ratings
Brian Marly
|
| Malta |
Oxford Economics
Paolo Grignani
|
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
EIU
The Europe team
|
| Slovakia |
Erste Bank – Slovenska Sporitelna
Marian Kocis, Maria Valachyova
|
S&P Global Market Intelligence
David Vagenknecht
|
Citigroup Global Mkts
Ilker Domac-Gultekin Isiklar
|
| Slovenia |
Erste Bank Croatia
Ivana Rogic Kovac
|
Analytics CCIS
Bojan Ivanc
|
InterCapital Securities
Kristijan Božić
|
6 countries
Interest Rate
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slovakia |
Erste Bank – Slovenska Sporitelna
Marian Kocis, Maria Valachyova
|
Capital Economics
Liam Peach
|
Komercní Banka
Societe Generale Team
|
1 countries
Unemployment
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cyprus |
Eurobank
Michail Vassileiadis
|
Alpha Bank
Economic Research Team
|
Bank of Cyprus
Nektarios Michail
|
| Estonia |
SEB
Mihkel Nestor
|
Fitch Ratings
Milan Trajkovic, Douglas Winslow
|
Capital Economics
Liam Peach
|
| Luxembourg |
Scope Ratings
Brian Marly, Dennis Shen
|
S&P Global Market Intelligence
Timo Klein
|
Fitch Ratings
Malgorzata Wegner, Arvind Ramakrishnan
|
| Malta |
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
S&P Global Market Intelligence
Marta Kaczmarek
|
Oxford Economics
Paolo Grignani
|
| Slovakia |
Hume’s Institute
Forecasting and Econometric Modelling Team
|
Raiffeisen Research
Research Team
|
VÚB Banka
Michal Lehuta
|
| Slovenia |
IMAD
Mitja Perko
|
Euromonitor International
Economies & Consumers Team
|
Raiffeisen Research
Research Team
|
6 countries
Overall
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cyprus |
Eurobank
Research Team
|
Alpha Bank
Economic Research Team
|
S&P Global Market Intelligence
Michał Płocheć
|
| Estonia |
Fitch Ratings
Milan Trajkovic, Douglas Winslow
|
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
S&P Global Market Intelligence
Michał Płocheć
|
| Luxembourg |
S&P Global Market Intelligence
Timo Klein
|
Moody’s Analytics
David Muir
|
Allianz
Maddalena Martini (Allianz Research)
|
| Malta |
Scope Ratings
Thomas Gillet
|
Fitch Ratings
Greg Kiss, Malgorzata Wegner
|
S&P Global Market Intelligence
Marta Kaczmarek
|
| Slovakia |
VÚB Banka
Michal Lehuta
|
Raiffeisen Research
Research Team
|
Komercní Banka
Kevin Tran
|
| Slovenia |
S&P Global Market Intelligence
Andy Birch
|
EIU
Dan Ridler
|
Moody’s Analytics
Tom Campbell
|
6 countries
Rankings determined by FocusEconomics’ proprietary accuracy methodology. Where two forecasters achieved equal accuracy, both are listed at the same rank.