Small Economies – Emerging & South Asia Award Winners
The FocusEconomics 10th Anniversary Analyst Forecast Awards celebrate a decade of recognizing the world’s most accurate economic forecasters. Below are the top three ranked forecasters for each indicator across the Emerging & South Asia region, covering 4 countries.
GDP
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Laos |
Moody’s Analytics
Sunny Nguyen
|
EIU
The Asia team
|
Oxford Economics
Jae Ladha
|
| Mongolia |
Citigroup Global Mkts
Adrienne Liu
|
JPMorgan
Jooeun Kim, Mahmoud Harb
|
Fitch Ratings
Kathleen Chen, Jeremy Zook
|
| Sri Lanka |
Capital Economics
Gareth Leather
|
EIU
Alex Holmes
|
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
| Taiwan |
Nomura
Jeong Woo Park and Si Ying Toh
|
Capital Economics
Gareth Leather
|
EIU
Nick Marro
|
4 countries
Inflation
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Laos |
Moody’s Analytics
Sunny Nguyen
|
EIU
The Asia team
|
Oxford Economics
Jae Ladha
|
| Mongolia |
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
Fitch Ratings
Kathleen Chen, Jeremy Zook
|
Citigroup Global Mkts
Adrienne Liu
|
| Sri Lanka |
EIU
Alex Holmes
|
Capital Economics
Gareth Leather
|
HSBC
Pranjul Bhandari, Aayushi Chaudhary
|
| Taiwan |
Euromonitor International
Economies & Consumers Team
|
Fitch Ratings
Sagarika Chandra, George Xu
|
Moody’s Analytics
Jeemin Bang
|
4 countries
Current Account
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mongolia |
JPMorgan
Jooeun Kim, Mahmoud Harb
|
Fitch Ratings
Kathleen Chen, Jeremy Zook
|
Oxford Economics
Louis Groom
|
| Sri Lanka |
Oxford Economics
Betty Wang
|
Citigroup Global Mkts
Baqar M Zaidi, Johanna Chua
|
EIU
Alex Holmes
|
| Taiwan |
Oxford Economics
Betty Wang
|
UBS
William Deng
|
Euromonitor International
Economies & Consumers Team
|
3 countries
Fiscal Balance
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Laos |
Oxford Economics
Jae Ladha
|
Moody’s Analytics
Sunny Nguyen
|
— |
| Taiwan |
Goldman Sachs
Goohoon Kwon, Irene Choi
|
Citigroup Global Mkts
Adrienne Liu
|
EIU
Nick Marro
|
2 countries
Exchange Rate
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mongolia |
Fitch Ratings
Kathleen Chen, Jeremy Zook
|
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
Oxford Economics
Louis Groom
|
| Sri Lanka |
HSBC
Joey Chew
|
Citigroup Global Mkts
Baqar M Zaidi, Johanna Chua
|
Capital Economics
Gareth Leather
|
| Taiwan |
Credit Agricole
Research Team
|
S&P Global Ratings
Research Team
|
UBS
William Deng
|
3 countries
Interest Rate
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Taiwan |
Standard Chartered
Tommy Wu
|
ANZ
ANZ Research
|
DBS Bank
Research Team
|
1 countries
Unemployment
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sri Lanka |
Oxford Economics
Betty Wang
|
Fitch Ratings
Jeremy Zook, Kathleen Chen
|
Euromonitor International
Economies & Consumers Team
|
| Taiwan |
Oxford Economics
Betty Wang
|
Chung-Hua Institute
Su-Ling Peng
|
United Overseas Bank
Research Team
|
2 countries
Overall
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Laos |
Moody’s Analytics
Sunny Nguyen
|
EIU
The Asia team
|
Oxford Economics
Jae Ladha
|
| Mongolia |
Fitch Ratings
Kathleen Chen, Jeremy Zook
|
Citigroup Global Mkts
Adrienne Liu
|
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
| Sri Lanka |
Capital Economics
Gareth Leather
|
EIU
Alex Holmes
|
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
| Taiwan |
Nomura
Jeong Woo Park and Si Ying Toh
|
UBS
William Deng
|
ANZ
ANZ Research
|
4 countries
Rankings determined by FocusEconomics’ proprietary accuracy methodology. Where two forecasters achieved equal accuracy, both are listed at the same rank.