Major Economies Award Winners
The FocusEconomics 10th Anniversary Analyst Forecast Awards celebrate a decade of recognizing the world’s most accurate economic forecasters. Below are the top three ranked forecasters for each indicator across the Major Economies region, covering 4 countries.
GDP
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canada |
Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs Research Team
|
Zürcher Kantonalbank
Kevin Gismondi
|
FrontierView
Research Team
|
| Japan |
Emirates NBD
Research Team
|
Berenberg
Research Team
|
Standard Chartered
Christopher Graham
|
| USA |
Pezco Economics
Helcio Takeda
|
Société Générale
Research Team
|
BBVA Research
BBVA Research
|
| United Kingdom |
ADA Economics
ADA Research
|
Acciones y Valores
Research Team
|
Actinver
Enrique Covarrubias, Jose Ramon De La Rosa
|
4 countries
Inflation
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada |
Euromonitor International
Economies & Consumers Team
|
Actinver
Jose Ramon De La Rosa, Enrique Covarrubias
|
Wells Fargo
Research Team
|
|
| Japan |
JPMorgan
Ayako Fujits, Benjamin Shatil
|
BNP Paribas
|
Peel Hunt
Kallum Pickering
|
|
| USA |
Grupo Financiero Banorte
Research Team
|
Credit Agricole
Research Team
|
Wells Fargo
Research Team
|
|
| United Kingdom |
Heteronomics
Philip Rush
|
Commerzbank
Vincent Stamer
|
DekaBank
Research Team
|
4 countries
Current Account
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada |
Credit Agricole
Research Team
|
Fitch Ratings
Joshua Grundleger, Richard Francis
|
Euromonitor International
Economies & Consumers Team
|
|
| Japan |
UBS
Masamichi Adachi
|
Nomura
|
Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs Research Team
|
|
| USA |
UBS
Jonathan Pingle
|
Kiel Institute
Research Team
|
Nomura
|
|
| United Kingdom |
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
NORDLB
|
UBS
Anna Titareva
|
4 countries
Fiscal Balance
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA |
Pezco Economics
Helcio Takeda
|
JPMorgan
Michael Feroli
|
Desjardins Group
Economic Studies
|
| United Kingdom |
Scope Ratings
Dennis Shen, Thomas Gillet
|
Fitch Ratings
Douglas Winslow, Greg Kiss
|
Euromonitor International
Economies & Consumers Team
|
2 countries
Exchange Rate
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canada |
RBC Capital Markets
Daria Parkhomenko
|
National Bank of Canada
NBC Economics & Strategy
|
Fitch Ratings
Jessica Hinds, Joshua Grundleger
|
| Japan |
Commerzbank
Vincent Stamer
|
Pezco Economics
Helcio Takeda
|
Wells Fargo
Research Team
|
| United Kingdom |
Credit Agricole
Research Team
|
DekaBank
Research Team
|
Citigroup Global Mkts
Research Team
|
3 countries
Interest Rate
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada |
TD Economics
Research Team
|
Desjardins Group
Economic Studies
|
Wells Fargo
Research Team
|
|
| Japan |
Wells Fargo
Research Team
|
Commerzbank
Vincent Stamer
|
Emirates NBD
Research Team
|
|
| USA |
Peel Hunt
Kallum Pickering
|
CIBC World Markets
Ali Jaffery
|
Emirates NBD
Research Team
|
|
| United Kingdom |
Standard Chartered
Christopher Graham
|
JPMorgan
Allan Monks
|
Nomura
|
4 countries
Unemployment
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canada |
National Bank of Canada
NBC Economics & Strategy
|
Oxford Economics
Michael Davenport, Tony Stillo
|
RBC Capital Markets
Research Team
|
| Japan |
Fitch Ratings
Jeremy Zook, Thomas Rookmaaker
|
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
BMO Capital Markets
Jennifer Lee
|
| USA |
Bank of China (HK)
Jianguang Zhang
|
Moody’s Ratings
Macro Financial Team
|
S&P Global Ratings
Satyam Panday
|
| United Kingdom |
Peel Hunt
Kallum Pickering
|
Danske Bank
Allan Mehren
|
Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs Research Team
|
4 countries
Overall
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada |
Zürcher Kantonalbank
Kevin Gismondi
|
Wells Fargo
Research Team
|
DekaBank
Research Team
|
||
| Japan |
Berenberg
Holger Schmieding
|
Wells Fargo
Research Team
|
Julius Baer
David Kohl
|
||
| USA |
Pezco Economics
Helcio Takeda
|
Emirates NBD
Research Team
|
CIBC World Markets
Ali Jaffery
|
||
| United Kingdom |
BNP Paribas
|
Acciones y Valores
Research Team
|
Peel Hunt
Kallum Pickering
|
4 countries
Rankings determined by FocusEconomics’ proprietary accuracy methodology. Where two forecasters achieved equal accuracy, both are listed at the same rank.