Emerging & South Asia Award Winners
The FocusEconomics 10th Anniversary Analyst Forecast Awards celebrate a decade of recognising the world’s most accurate economic forecasters. Below are the top three ranked forecasters for each indicator across the Emerging & South Asia region, covering 5 countries.
GDP
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bangladesh |
EIU
Kalyani Honrao
|
HSBC
Ines Lam
|
Fitch Ratings
Sagarika Chandra, Jeremy Zook
|
| China |
Bank of China (HK)
Jianguang Zhang
|
Halyk Finance
Assan Kurmanbekov
|
Bank of East Asia, Limited
Economic Research Department
|
| Hong Kong |
Citigroup Global Mkts
Adrienne Liu
|
Fitch Ratings
Kathleen Chen, Jeremy Zook
|
ANZ
ANZ Research
|
| Korea |
ING
Research Team
|
Citigroup Global Mkts
Jin-Wook Kim
|
Capital Economics
Gareth Leather
|
| Pakistan |
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
Citigroup Global Mkts
Johanna Chua
|
Capital Economics
Gareth Leather
|
5 countries
Inflation
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangladesh |
HSBC
Ines Lam
|
Oxford Economics
Alexandra Hermann Prasad
|
Euromonitor International
Economies & Consumers Team
|
||
| China |
Capital Economics
Capital Economics China team
Pezco Economics
Helcio Takeda
|
Nomura
Actinver
Jose Ramon De La Rosa, Enrique Covarrubias
|
EIU
Yue Su, Tianchen XU , Chim Lee, Ying Zhang and Tianzeng Xu
Société Générale
Michelle Lam
|
||
| Hong Kong |
Kiel Institute
Research Team
|
Nomura
Harrington Zhang, Ting Lu
|
Bank of China (HK)
Jianguang Zhang
|
||
| Korea |
Credit Agricole
Research Team
|
Standard Chartered
Anubhuti Sahay, Lee Wee-Kok
|
Scotiabank
Research Team
|
||
| Pakistan |
Capital Economics
Gareth Leather
|
EIU
Sumedha Dasgupta
|
Moody’s Analytics
Aditi Raman
|
5 countries
Current Account
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| China |
HSBC
Jing Liu
|
Oxford Economics
Sheana Yue
|
Société Générale
Michelle Lam
|
| Hong Kong |
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
Credit Agricole
Research Team
|
Euromonitor International
Economies & Consumers Team
|
| Korea |
Euromonitor International
Economies & Consumers Team
|
Citigroup Global Mkts
Jin-Wook Kim
|
Oxford Economics
Louise Loo
|
| Pakistan |
Citigroup Global Mkts
Johanna Chua
|
Fitch Ratings
Thomas Rookmaaker, Kathleen Chen
|
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
4 countries
Fiscal Balance
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bangladesh |
Moody’s Analytics
Eugene Tan
|
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
Oxford Economics
Alexandra Hermann Prasad
|
| China |
ING
Research Team
|
Emirates NBD
Research Team
|
NORDLB
Research Team
|
| Hong Kong |
United Overseas Bank
Research Team
|
Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs Research Team
|
HSBC
Jing Liu / Erin Xin
|
3 countries
Exchange Rate
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bangladesh |
Fitch Ratings
Sagarika Chandra, Jeremy Zook
|
HSBC
Joey Chew
|
Oxford Economics
Alexandra Hermann Prasad
|
| China |
UniCredit
Ingo Heimig
|
DBS Bank
Philip WEE
|
BMO Capital Markets
Jennifer Lee
|
| Korea |
DekaBank
Research Team
|
HSBC
Joey Chew
|
UBS
William-W Deng
|
| Pakistan |
Oxford Economics
Callee Davis
|
EIU
Sumedha Dasgupta
|
Moody’s Analytics
Aditi Raman
|
4 countries
Interest Rate
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| China |
Maybank Investment Banking Group
Erica Tay
|
Bank of China (HK)
Jianguang Zhang
|
Bank of East Asia, Limited
Economic Research Department
|
| Hong Kong |
HSBC
Jing Liu / Erin Xin
|
ANZ
ANZ Research
|
Credit Agricole
Research Team
|
| Korea |
DBS Bank
Tieying MA
|
Credit Agricole
Research Team
|
S&P Global Ratings
Louis Kuijs
|
3 countries
Unemployment
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bangladesh |
Moody’s Analytics
Eugene Tan
|
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
Euromonitor International
Economies & Consumers Team
|
| China |
Danske Bank
Allan Mehren
|
Fitch Ratings
Jeremy Zook, Thomas Rookmaaker
|
Société Générale
Michelle Lam
|
| Hong Kong |
Oxford Economics
Betty Wang
|
Bank of China (HK)
Jianguang Zhang
|
EIU
Joel Cheung
|
| Korea |
EIU
Fei Xue
|
Citigroup Global Mkts
Jin-Wook Kim
|
HSBC
Jin Choi
|
4 countries
Overall
| Country | 1st Place | 2nd Place | 3rd Place |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bangladesh |
HSBC
Ines Lam
|
EIU
Kalyani Honrao
|
Fitch Ratings
Sagarika Chandra, Jeremy Zook
|
| China |
EIU
Yue Su, Tianchen XU , Chim Lee, Ying Zhang and Tianzeng Xu
|
Pezco Economics
Helcio Takeda
|
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
| Hong Kong |
Nomura
Harrington Zhang, Ting Lu
|
Citigroup Global Mkts
Adrienne Liu
|
Fitch Ratings
Kathleen Chen, Jeremy Zook
|
| Korea |
Standard Chartered
Anubhuti Sahay, Lee Wee-Kok
|
ANZ
ANZ Research
|
Citigroup Global Mkts
Jin-Wook Kim
|
| Pakistan |
Capital Economics
Gareth Leather
|
BMI, a FitchSolutions Company
BMI Research Team
|
EIU
Sumedha Dasgupta
|
5 countries
Rankings determined by FocusEconomics’ proprietary accuracy methodology. Where two forecasters achieved equal accuracy, both are listed at the same rank.