Inflation in Thailand

Thailand Inflation (eop) | Economic News & Forecasts

Thailand - Inflation (end of period)

Inflation jumps in September

Consumer prices in Thailand increased 0.58% over the previous month in September, up from 0.11% in August. The increase in consumer prices was chiefly driven by higher prices for non-food and beverages, food and non-alcoholic beverages, raw food and energy and housing and furnishing. The increase in prices was broad-based, as all subgroups recorded higher prices in September compared to the prior month.

Inflation rose from 0.3% in August to 0.9% in September, coming in above market expectations of a more modest reading of 0.5%. As a result, inflation approached the lower band of the Central Bank’s 1.0%–4.0% target range, but nevertheless remained below the target for the seventh consecutive month. Core inflation, meanwhile, remained steady for the sixth consecutive month at 0.5%. While subsidies and state price controls have limited inflation, recent trade data indicates a fairly robust domestic market with economic activity picking up. However, as inflation remains below target, the Bank of Thailand is likely to keep the monetary policy unchanged when it meets on 8 November.

The Bank of Thailand now foresees inflation of 0.6% in 2017 and 1.2% in 2018. FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect inflation of 0.8% on average in 2017, which is down 0.1 percentage points from last month’s forecast. For 2018, panelists predict average inflation of 1.5%, which is unchanged from last month’s estimate.

Thailand - Inflation (eop) Data

2012  2013  2014  2015  2016  
Inflation Rate (CPI, annual variation in %, eop)3.6  1.7  0.6  -0.9  1.1  

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Thailand Inflation (eop) Chart

Thailand Inflation
Note: Annual variation of consumer price index (CPI) in %.
Source: Bureau of Trade and Economics and FocusEconomics calculations.

Thailand Facts

Bond Yield2.290.0 %Oct 19
Exchange Rate33.110.17 %Oct 19
Stock Market1,683-1.41 %Oct 19

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