GDP in Nigeria
Nigeria - GDP
Economy loses steam in Q2
The economy shifted into a lower gear in the second quarter, with annual GDP growth decelerating to 1.9% from an upwardly revised 2.1% in the first quarter (previously reported: +2.0% year-on-year). The moderation was mainly driven by weakening momentum in the non-oil segment of the economy, which expanded at the softest pace in a year. That said, the vital oil sector recovered strongly in the quarter, cushioning the overall slowdown.
Growth in the non-oil sector of the economy eased sharply in Q2, coming in at 1.6% annually (Q1: +2.5% year-on-year) and reflecting faltering activity in both the agriculture and services sectors. Agricultural output growth nearly halved in Q2 amid softer crop production and a stagnant livestock sector. Similarly, declining activity in the trade, real estate, and finance and insurance industries stifled the overall expansion of the services sector. In contrast, industrial output growth picked up markedly in Q2, driven mainly by the recovery of the mining and quarrying sector.
Most notably, the all-important energy sector returned to growth in Q2, after contracting for four consecutive quarters. Activity in the oil sector rose a robust 5.2% over the same period last year, rebounding from the 1.5% fall in Q1. This came on the back of oil production—which accounts for the largest share of overall mining and quarrying sector output—remaining relatively elevated at 1.98 million barrels per day (mbpd) in Q2 (Q1: 1.99 mbpd) and rising oil prices during the first half of the quarter.
Growth is projected to accelerate slightly this year compared to 2018 amid the ongoing economic recovery. The full roll-out of the minimum wage and measures to stimulate bank lending should lend support to domestic demand. That said, a weaker global economy, power shortages, potential disruptions to oil production and slow pace of reforms dampen the outlook.
FocusEconomics panelists project that the economy will grow 2.3% in 2019, which is down 0.1 percentage points from last month’s forecast. In 2020, growth is seen accelerating to 2.7%.
Nigeria - GDP Data
|Economic Growth (GDP, annual variation in %)||5.5||6.2||2.8||-1.6||0.8|
5 years of economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
Nigeria GDP Chart
Source: National Bureau of Statistics
|Bond Yield||14.13||0.0 %||Sep 04|
|Exchange Rate||306.5||3.08 %||Sep 04|
|Stock Market||0.1||0.0 %||Sep 04|
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November 5, 2019
The Stanbic IBTC Bank Nigeria Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) inched down to 56.9 in October from 57.1 in September, which had marked the highest reading since June 2018.
October 15, 2019
Consumer prices increased 1.04% on a month-on-month basis in September, up from August’s 0.99% rise.
October 14, 2019
On 8 October, President Muhammadu Buhari presented a record NGN 10.3 trillion 2020 budget to the National Assembly, the first of his second term after winning re-election in February.
October 4, 2019
The Stanbic IBTC Bank Nigeria Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) rose from 56.4 in August to 57.1 in September, marking the highest reading since June 2018.
September 23, 2019
At its 19–20 September meeting, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) unanimously decided to hold its monetary policy rate, as well as all other monetary policy parameters for the third consecutive meeting, as had been broadly expected by analysts.