Colorful city in Guatemala

Guatemala Private consumption

Guatemala Private consumption

Private Consumption in Guatemala

The economy of Guatemala recorded an average growth rate of 1.5% in the decade leading to 2022. In 2022, private consumption growth was 4.2%. For more private consumption information, visit our dedicated page.

Guatemala Private consumption Chart

Note: This chart displays Private Consumption (annual variation in %) for Guatemala from 2015 to 2014.
Source: Macrobond.

Guatemala Private consumption Data

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Private Consumption (ann. var. %) 4.7 -1.6 8.5 4.3 4.4

GDP growth accelerated in Q2

Economy posts near one-year high expansion: The economy kept its foot on the gas in the second quarter, expanding 3.7% year on year compared to 3.2% in the first quarter. Q2’s reading marked the best result since Q3 2023.

Fixed investment and exports fuel acceleration: Domestically, the upturn was chiefly underpinned by a faster increase in fixed investment, which clocked 5.8% year on year in Q2, above Q1’s 2.7% expansion. Less positively, household spending growth slowed to 5.5% in Q2 (Q1: +6.4% yoy). Moreover, public consumption contracted at a quicker rate of 4.6% in Q2 (Q1: -1.9% yoy). On the external front, exports of goods and services bounced back, growing 4.9% in Q2 (Q1: -3.5% yoy). Conversely, growth in imports of goods and services moderated to 10.0% in Q2 (Q1: +13.7% yoy). As a result, net trade contributed positively to economic growth.

Stable growth ahead, though risks are tilted to the upside: Our panelists expect economic growth to average around Q2 levels in H2, as slower private spending growth largely offsets a recovery in public spending plus faster expansions in fixed investment and exports of goods and services. That said, available data hints at upside risk to this projection, as slower price pressures and stronger growth in remittances inflows in Q3 likely supported household budgets at the outset of H2. Our Consensus is for the economy to expand at a similar clip to 2023 in both 2024 and 2025. Faster-than-expected growth in the U.S.—a key source of remittances—is an upside risk.

Consensus Forecasts and Projections for the next ten years

How should you choose a forecaster if some are too optimistic while others are too pessimistic? FocusEconomics collects Guatemalan private consumption projections for the next ten years from a panel of 6 analysts at the leading national, regional and global forecast institutions. These projections are then validated by our in-house team of economists and data analysts and averaged to provide one Consensus Forecast you can rely on for each indicator. By averaging all forecasts, upside and downside forecasting errors tend to cancel each other out, leading to the most reliable private consumption forecast available for Guatemalan private consumption.

Download one of our sample reports to visualize what a Consensus Forecast is and see our Guatemalan private consumption projections.

Want to get access to the full dataset of Guatemalan private consumption forecasts? Send an email to info@focus-economics.com.

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