Investment in Bulgaria
Bulgaria - Investment
GDP records best reading in over 20 years in Q2
A second reading confirmed that GDP bounced back in the second quarter, expanding 9.9% and contrasting the 1.8% contraction recorded in the first quarter. Q2's reading marked the best result since Q4 2000, although it was boosted by a considerable base effect, with Q2 2020 having coincided with the sharpest contraction recorded in over 20 years. On a seasonally-adjusted quarter-on-quarter basis, economic growth moderated to 0.6% in Q2 from 2.5% in the previous quarter.
The upturn in annual terms reflected improvements in the domestic economy. Total consumption growth accelerated to 6.2% year-on-year in the second quarter (Q1: +2.5% yoy), while fixed investment growth came in at 4.0% in Q2, up from the 1.0% expansion logged in the previous quarter. However, government consumption growth fell to a five-year low, clocking in at 3.1% in Q2 (Q1: +6.7% yoy).
Externally, exports of goods and services rebounded in Q2, growing 20.4% (Q1: -5.9% yoy). In addition, growth in imports of goods and services accelerated to 28.4% in Q2 (Q1: +1.9% yoy), marking the highest reading since Q1 2004.
Looking ahead, GDP growth is expected to slow in Q3 and into Q4 as the favorable base effect gradually reduces. Moreover, the caretaker government recently extended the state of emergency until end-November, while spiking daily Covid-19 cases amid a sluggish vaccination campaign bode poorly for activity towards the end of 2021.
FocusEconomics panelists project the economy to expand 4.5% in 2021, which is up 0.2 percentage points from last month’s forecast, and 3.9% in 2022.
Bulgaria - Investment Data
|Investment (annual variation in %)||2.7||-6.6||3.2||5.4||2.2|
5 years of economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators.
|Bond Yield||0.40||0.0 %||Dec 31|
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November 15, 2021
Consumer prices increased 1.82% in October over the previous month, accelerating from the 0.40% rise recorded in September.
November 10, 2021
Industrial output rose 10.5% compared to the same month of the previous year in September, which was a marginal deterioration from August's 10.6% increase.
October 18, 2021
Consumer prices rose 0.40% in September over the previous month, coming in below the 0.77% increase recorded in August.
October 8, 2021
Industrial output increased 10.8% compared to the same month of the previous year in August, which was above July's 8.6% increase.
September 15, 2021
Consumer prices rose 0.77% in August over the previous month, matching July's reading.