Peru Business Confidence June 2019


Peru: Business confidence at over two-year low in June

July 5, 2019

The business confidence indicator plunged from May’s 52.9 to 49.8 in June, and therefore moved below the 50-point threshold that separates optimism from pessimism, for the first time since March 2017.

June’s decline came against the backdrop of a broad-based deterioration in macroeconomic expectations. Firms had worse assessments of current conditions, and less rosy expectations on the economy and on demand conditions. With regards to the current situation, firms had less favorable assessments of sales; demand; and new orders. As for the outlook, companies had worse views on the general economic situation; the sector prospects; and the demand prospects, in the next 3 and 12 months.

Panelists expect fixed investment to contract 3.9% in 2019, which is unchanged from last month’s forecast. For 2020, panel participants see investment growing 3.6%.

Author: Massimo Bassetti, Economist

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Peru Business Confidence Chart

Peru Business Confidence June 2019

Note: Business Confidence Index (Indice de Confianza Empresarial). Values above 50 indicate an optimistic assessment of the business climate while values below 50 indicate a pessimistic assessment.
Source: Peru Central Bank (BCRP).

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