Germany Economic Outlook
September 26, 2017
Germany went to the polls on 24 September, timidly endorsing Chancellor Angela Merkel for a fourth term, with her CDU party receiving the largest share of the vote. The SPD, Merkel’s current coalition partner, suffered a humiliating defeat and has ruled out forming a coalition with the CDU, so it will take on the role of lead opposition party. The nationalist AfD party came in third place, marking the first time since 1960 a far-right party has entered the Bundestag. Ms. Merkel will now attempt to form a coalition with the Greens and the liberal FDP; negotiations could stretch into early next year. Markets reacted negatively to the news, and the euro had its worst day of the year. In the longer term, however, the election should have little impact on the country’s economic performance, which continues to benefit from solid fundamentals. Business and consumer confidence remain high, which has translated into robust retail sales and industrial production.Germany Economy Data
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Germany Facts
| Value | Change | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bond Yield | 0.40 | 9.37 % | Oct 18 |
| Exchange Rate | 1.18 | 0.21 % | Oct 18 |
| Stock Market | 13,043 | 0.37 % | Oct 18 |
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Germany Economic Growth
September 26, 2017
Economic growth is expected to be broad-based heading into next year. Tight labor market conditions should yield higher wage demands in upcoming collective bargaining rounds, while fixed investment should start picking up on the back of sustained business confidence. The external sector should also continue providing solid support, thanks to the global economic upswing currently underway. Our panel expects GDP will grow 2.0% in 2017. For 2018, the panel expects GDP growth of 1.8%, which is unchanged from last month’s forecast.Germany Economic News
Germany: Exports beat expectations and shrug off fears from a strong euro
October 10, 2017
In seasonally- and calendar-adjusted terms, Germany’s trade surplus increased to EUR 21.6 billion in August from a revised EUR 19.3 billion in July (previously reported: EUR 19.5 billion; August 2016: EUR 21.1 billion).
Germany: Industrial output expands in August
October 9, 2017
In August, industrial production increased 2.6% from the previous month in seasonally and working-day adjusted terms, contrasting the small 0.1% contraction in July.
Germany: Inflation steady at prior month’s result in September
September 28, 2017
Consumer prices increased 0.1% over the previous month in September, matching the prior month’s increase, according to preliminary data released by the Federal Statistics Office (Destatis) on 28 September.
Germany: Consumer confidence inches down in October
September 28, 2017
The forward-looking consumer climate indicator published by the GfK Group inched down from 10.9 points in September to 10.8 points in October.
Germany: Angela Merkel wins a fourth term as right-wing AfD party enters the Bundestag
September 25, 2017
As predicted, the German parliamentary elections held on 24 September sent six parties into the Bundestag for the first time.
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